Yu Yue on Jin:8.11Today's gold trend rebounds, bullish looking for an increase, and suggestions for unwinding multiple orders

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　　goldTrend analysis:

Thursday Beijing Time(8month10day)20:30Published by the US Department of Labor7Monthly Inflation Report, Overall and CoreCPIThe annual rate is lower than expected. As of press release, spot gold has jumped more than8USD to1930.02dollar/Ounces. Data display, United States7Monthly overallCPIAnnual rate recorded3.2%Less than expected3.3%But higher than the previous value3%, for2022year6Accelerating for the first time since the beginning of the month; United States7Monthly CoreCPIAnnual rate recorded4.7%, for2021year10New low since the beginning of the month, lower than expected and previous values0.1Percentage points. Through a series of unremitting interest rate hikes, the Federal Reserve has successfully reduced the overall annual consumer price rate from last year6The high point of the month in over forty years9.1%Significantly lower. Although natural gas, gasoline, andcrude oilSignificant cost increase, overallCPIRising again, but traders are almost certain that the Federal Reserve will5.25%-5.50%Maintain the interest rate range until the end of the year, and then consider2024At some point in the year, interest rates will be lowered.

　　4From an hourly perspective, the current trend of gold is relatively obvious, as shown in the following figure: Currently, gold is in theB-bIn the structural trend,AWaves are2079-1893Downward segment,BWaves1893The upward structure at the starting point,BThe waves are in the shape of a platform.B-aby1893-1987, internally running a three wave structure,B-bby1987Adjust the wave downward. The wave shape appears to be in a wedge-shaped shape, and currently it is likely to run to the end. The market may unfold at any timeB-cUpward wave, pay attention to the golden section below1908And the second lowest point1902Nearby support left side first in, expectedB-cThe rise can be seen2000Near.

In summary, gold is currently in the late stage of decline, so it is cautious to chase short positions and patiently wait for the price to retreat before participating in long positions. Below1908-1902The nearby support can be intervened by the left side test warehouse, and the right side can wait for the bottom signal to be established before entering. In the short term, currentlyKThe line shape has not yet shown a bottom signal, and the short-term trend is still volatile and weak. Short term operations can still be carried out at high altitudes and low altitudes within the day, and the layout can be concluded as soon as it improves.

Golden Strategy:

　　1Suggestions1913Multiple, stop loss1910, Objective1920-1928-1940；



Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;

Thursday（8month10In the US market, US crude oil rose slightly, reaching a new high in nearly ten months84.68dollar/Bucket, currently traded in84.87dollar/Near the barrel, the previous significant reduction in US finished oil storage, Saudi Arabia and Russia's production cuts overshadowed concerns about slowing demand from major Asian countries, and market expectations that the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its interest rate hike cycle also provided support for oil prices. However, investors should pay attention to changes in market sentiment. If concerns about the economic outlook increase, it may drag down the trend of oil prices in the short term. Recently, the short-term increase in oil prices has been significant, with oil prices breaking through4Month high point83.51After the critical position, there is still a need for confirmation of the short-term step back, and even the possibility of a deep pullback. This transaction is closely watched by Japan and the United StatesOPECMonthly report of crude oil market, pay attention to the United States7monthCPIData, changes in the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits. Overall,EIARaising the US economic forecast and being optimistic about oil prices in the second half of the year has driven up oil prices. In addition, the Federal Reserve may have reached a stage where interest rates can remain unchanged, and oil prices may continue to fluctuate and rise in the short term; However, it is necessary to be vigilant against increased market risk factors.

Technical analysis of crude oil; Daily level: unilateral rise;MACDThe golden fork continues to diverge upwards, except for200The long end arrangement of the moving average outside the daily moving average,KDJAfter high passivation, it forms a golden cross again, and the bulls have a clear advantage. Currently, it has initially broken through4The highest point in the past ten months set in the month83.51Key location, oil prices are currently being explored11month10Daily low point84.70Nearby resistance, further stronger resistance reference11month16Daily high point87.48Nearby location,11month15Resistance to daily highs88.65Nearby,11month11Resistance to daily highs90Near integer level. Relatively speaking,84.70The resistance nearby is relatively strong,MACDContinuously issuing top deviation signals, still need to be cautious about the impact of oil prices on83.51The possibility of confirming the return step at a nearby location, if unable to guard83.51Above, it is even necessary to be wary of the possibility that the oil price's breakthrough in this position is a fake breakthrough, while below10The daily moving average is supported by82.24Nearby, if you lose this support, you need to be wary of the possibility of a short-term peak. Overall, it is recommended to focus on the short-term operation of crude oil in the upper level84.0-84.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below81.5-81.0Frontline support.


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   This article discusses the deduction of gold by Yu Yue  724952173,vx yyLj10086As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Yu Yue discusses online solutions for gold, with loss recovery and real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.