Ultima MarketsMarket Analysis: Buying Expectations and Selling Facts Oil prices fall instead of rising...

Today's Focus on Varieties--crude oil。

Fundamentally,昨日原油市场库存远超预期减少，创历史最大单周降幅，预期减少136万桶，实际减少超1700万桶。库存的减少意味着需求急速增加，但由于7月份沙特额外减产，早已给了市场预期，近一个月油价不断被推高。

在数据公布后，买预期卖事实在原油上立刻体现出来，油价日内短期上涨后大量多单选择离场，近期行情将陷入调整。

下周原油市场即将迎来三大机构能源报告。在供应趋于紧张和需求推动油价上涨背景下，量产计划理论上在8月不会有太大变化。因此在8monthOPEC会议前，油价或将陷入调整。

Technically,原油日线周期上，行情昨日快速下跌接近13Near the daily moving average.

（布伦特原油日线周期，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

crude oil13日均线是前期潜在的移动支撑阻力位置。油价在经历24个交易日的上涨后，随机震荡指标走出顶背离结构。昨日的下跌K线也让技术指标呈现死叉的潜在空头趋势。

Brent crude oil4Hourly cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

4小时周期上，油价走势更为明确，65周期均线（红色）是前期行情的移动支撑位置。行情在该价位附近将短期陷入调整。若行情无法反弹突破13周期均线（绿色），则原油有一定下行动力。

Brent crude oil1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level84.276，

84.276Upward bullish, first goal85.592Second objective87.525

84.276Under bearish, first target82.336Second objective81.021

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