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I have always insisted on writing analysis and tried to make it as easy to understand as possible. Some things are written that many investors cannot understand and are meaningless. To do a good job, Yu Yue believes that it is necessarily helpful to others. Therefore, in terms of analysis, I often write some judgments on technical forms and trend lines, as well as some personal experience summaries and suggestions on direction operations. This is not for any reason, but to enable more people to learn to make their own judgments and learn effective technical analysis, which can reap profits from practical operations.
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本周市场关注焦点主要在美联储议息决议上,预计会进行25个基点的加息,并关注其后续货币政策前景指引。同样,欧洲央行本次会议预计也会进行25个基点的加息,并关注其后续政策预期。这些因素可能导致市场震荡加剧,而市场对于加息预期的差异将是影响行情守住1950区间震荡的关键。除此之外,美国第二季度GDP数据也是本周关注的焦点,投资者需留意数据可能带来的市场动荡风险。gold的乐观评论是在美联储开始为期两天的货币政策会议之际发表的。美联储几乎肯定将在这次会议后将利率提高25个基点。与此同时,市场预期这可能是本轮紧缩周期中的最后一次加息。无论这是最后一次加息,还是未来还会有更多加息,很明显美联储已经接近尾声。
Technical analysis of gold:
黄金日线级别震荡上涨;MACDGolden fork,KDJ死叉,均线交织,短线走势变数较大,鉴于之前金价在强阻力位附近录得了类似“黄昏之星”的顶部信号,此后连续两个交易日下跌,在顶破5Daily moving average1965前,后市金价仍下行风险,初步支撑在55Daily moving average1953.07附近,上周低点支撑在1945.67Nearby,21The daily moving average support is currently at1940关口附近,若失守该支撑,则增加后市看空信号。在失守21日均线前,多头也仍留有一定的机会,初步阻力参考5Daily moving average1965附近位置,上周五高点阻力在1973.67Nearby, then1980关口附近阻力,若能顶破该阻力,则增加后市看涨信号;强阻力参考2079-1892Downtrend50%Retreat position1986附近位置,若能顶破该阻力,则有望看向61.8%Retreat position2008.10附近位置。综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上建议回调低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1973-1978Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1955-1950Frontline support.
crude oil日线级别单边上涨;MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉,短期均线多头排列,21Daily moving average100The daily moving average forms a golden cross,5Daily moving average200日均线,油价顶破了200日均线关键阻力,短线看涨信号进一步增强,中线看涨信号也有所增强,后市有望进一步上探4month12Daily high point83.51Nearby resistance. In the short term,4month26Daily high point79.15附近还存在较强的阻力,3month31day-4month1日的缺口上沿阻力也在该位置附近,短线需要提防有吗小幅回调的可能性,下方初步支撑参考4month26Daily high point77.90Nearby location,7month13The daily high is supported by77.31Nearby,200日均线目前在76.66附近,该位置已经转化为强支撑所在,若意外回落至该位置下方,则增加后市看空信号。另外,上方80INTEGER GATES AND4month18Daily high point81.46附近位置也还分别存在一定的阻力。综合来看,原油今日短线操作思路上建议以回踩低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期关注80-80.6Frontline resistance, short-term focus below77.5-77Frontline support.
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