Yu Yue on Jin:7.24Can the gold pullback continue? Trend analysis and operational suggestions

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Monday(7month24day)Late Asian Market, SpotgoldMaintaining intraday decline, gold prices are currently close to1960dollar/Ounce level.


News interpretation: In recent weeks, signs of slowing inflation have boosted the bet that the Federal Reserve's most radical interest rate increase cycle in decades is coming to an end. US treasury bond bonds have risen sharply. The yield of two-year treasury bond bonds, which are particularly sensitive to interest rate expectations, is higher than this year's7month6Daily arrival5.12%The peak value of has decreased by nearly30Basis points. The unexpectedly tough stance of the Federal Reserve this week may prompt traders to reconsider the outlook for monetary policy, as well as the release of data on various inflation indicators. although6Monthly CorePCEThe annual rate is expected to slow down to4.2%But it will still be more than twice the long-term goal of the Federal Reserve. The current labor market and wage prospects are also crucial for bond investors. Looking ahead to this week, investors will welcome a crucial Federal Reserve interest rate decision, and the market is widely expected that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates25Basis points. Analysts point out that if the Federal Reserve defends hawkish rhetoric after raising interest rates, gold prices may further decline.

Gold trend analysis: After weakening last Friday, gold continued its closing trend on Monday, indicating that the weakness may continue. At present, it is in the stage of rebound pressure, so in the short term, it is mainly high altitude, and participating in short-term trading is a relatively safe way. Considering the weakening trend of the market, we looked at the direction of action at the beginning of this week, but we should also pay attention to potential turning point opportunities in the middle of the week. Looking back at last week's overall trend, gold experienced high volatility and rose in the first half of the week, forming a rebound and upward trend. However, after continuous fluctuations, the price remained around1987After forming a high point nearby, it did not continue to rise, but instead experienced a situation of a high point falling back. The short-term trend shows a bidirectional fluctuation structure of rising at the beginning of the week and falling at the end of the week, indicating that the uncertainty factors of the market are still dominant in the market.

Still familiar with the rhythm of the market trend, in the short term, for the trend structure that has not been sustained unilaterally in the market, the focus at the beginning of the week is to review the closing stage of last Friday, connecting with the expected trend on Friday. Therefore, Friday's closing is relatively weak, and the rhythm of the market is first in a weak trend environment. The rebound strength of the daily focus determines the direction of the future market. The low rebound and low volatility indicate that bears are still forced and have not shown any signs of trend. Despite this, bearish expectations continue to decline and continue to decline. If there is a significant rebound, the first thing to focus on is the strength of the rebound, followed by the stagnation of pressure points.


At the beginning of this week, the plan was laid out, and the expected volatility of the Asian market for the day was not significant. The focus was on the performance of the European and American markets, with a high probability of fluctuations centered around the European and American markets during the summer season. In terms of layout, the main focus for the day is on the continuation opportunities of the downward trend, followed by participating in the anti pumping opportunities, which are also key points on Friday1972/74Nearby pressure, the market cannot rebound1970Nearby can be empty, still looking lower below! Overall, during the day, we will focus on the continuation of the downward trend, and determine the opportunities for future market layout based on the strength of the rebound. The rebound will provide1970/72Nearby under pressure, can continue to watch the fall from high altitude!

Golden Operation Suggestion: Above1968Short nearby, stop loss1975, look at the goal1955Nearby; Below1950Long nearby, stop loss1944, look at the goal1965；

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