Ultima Markets：【行情分析】金价浪4即将出现 日内空头压...

Today's Focus on Varieties--gold。

Fundamentally,市场已经逐渐消化美联储年内大概率就只在7月份加息的预期。目前金价走势需要额外的美元相关刺激。短期走势方向需要要看美联储在本月最新的货币政策，而日内更多是关注技术层面几个关键价位能否突破。

Technically,黄金日线周期上随机震荡指标已经在超买区域形成死叉信号，行情有一定概率回调。

（黄金日线周期，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

但是日线周期上5日周期均线依旧支撑着金价，历史来看随机震荡指标的死叉，金价也可能缓慢震荡上行。因此金价在没有跌破5日均线前，金价日内暂时不能言空。

（黄金4Hourly cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

4小时周期上，有比较明确的艾略特波浪结构。行情在完成123波浪后，结构完整有较大概率进行回调。下方的上行通道上沿和50%斐波那契回撤位是潜在的支撑位置。

（黄金1Hourly cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

1小时周期来看，金价的日内空头趋势概率较大。昨日形成M顶结构，ATR组合指标也暗示跌破颈线有效。关键看今日行情在回踩65周期均线和颈线重叠价位1972dollar/盎司后，金价是否将再度下行。

（黄金1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level1973.87，

1973.87Upward bullish, first goal1982.66Second objective1996.20

1973.87Under bearish, first target1960.23Second objective1951.89

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.