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Today's Focus on Varieties--EUR/USD。
Fundamentally,上周由于美国通胀走弱,投资者对美联储进一步加息的预期逐渐减弱,这缩小了美国和欧元区之间的利差,提振了欧元兑美元汇率。美国利率投机的消退以及美国相对于欧元区的利率优势减弱,都为欧元提供了支撑。
本周三欧元区也将公布最新的6monthCPI数据,若没有明确的消退迹象,欧央行年内的紧缩政策或仍将继续,这一定程度上继续帮助欧元走势升高。
Technically,欧元兑美4小时周期上行情陷入了震荡,随机摆动指标与行情走势也出现了背离。
(EUR/USD)4Hourly cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
随机摆动指标已经下调走弱,而欧元兑美元的汇率在高点呈现的趋势震荡上扬结构。
(EUR/USD)1Hourly cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
1小时结构上,欧元兑美元汇率的调整结构为扩张三角形,行情在触及上沿后有一定概率再度下行,下方65周期的均线为第一目标位置,在充分调整后行情或将继续上行。
(EUR/USD)1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level1.12297, 1.12297Upward bullish, first goal1.12563Second objective1.12750 1.12297Under bearish, first target1.12108Second objective1.11843
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