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CPT MarketsThe global economy is facing difficulties and Libya's production sector is restarting to suppress it...

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Brentcrude oil (Brent Oil):
CPT MarketsThe global economy is facing difficulties and Libya's production sector is restarting to suppress it...502 / author:CPT / PostsID:1723796




Brent crude oil opened today for consolidation after a slight decline in Monday's closing78.51附近,因市场对需求担忧有所增加及利比亚生产部分重启,导致油价下行疲软震荡。

在利空因素方面,世界银行行长 彭安杰 表示,全球经济正陷于困境,但不会注定一直这样。世界银行上个月将明年全球经济增长预估从之前的2.7%Down to2.4%,指因全球货币紧缩。此外,周一利比亚上周关闭的三座油田中的两座恢复生产,也令原油承压。这些油田因抗议前财政部长遭绑架而停产。根据CMEFederal Reserve observations indicate that the Federal Reserve7Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to5.25%-5.50%The probability of the interval is96.7%; reach9The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is2.8%Accumulated interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is82.7%。

而在利多因素方面,周一美国能源信息署EIAAccording to the published data,8月美国页岩油产量也将降至近94010000 barrels/日,这将是自2022year12月以来的首次月度产量下降。此外,美国三大股市全数收涨,包含标普指数收盘上涨0.36%The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher0.22%And the Nasdaq Index closed higher0.93%。在美国经济层面,周一美国财政部长 Yellen 表示,美国在降低通胀方面取得了良好进展,她预计美国经济不会陷入衰退。

总而言之,油价受全球经济正陷于困境及利比亚生产部分重启而打压,不过8月美国页岩油产量下降及美股全数收涨,限制了油价的跌势;日内重点将关注美国6月零售销售及美联储官员讲话。

Press from above(Upper resistance) 78.50,78.90; From the downward direction, the lower support78.00。

CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.




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