Yu Yue on Jin:7.17Analysis of the latest rise and fall trend of gold market and online unwinding technology...

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Today, the National Bureau of Statistics just released2023National economic data for the first half of the year,GDPYear-on-year growth5.5%The per capita disposable income has actually increased5.8%Gross Domestic Product59.30trillion The market resilience is still very strong, there is no deflation, it is only temporarily affected by the global economy.



Over the weekend, the news of the interest rate on existing housing loans flashed on the screen. According to the principles of marketization and rule of law, we support and encourage commercial banks to negotiate with lenders to change contract agreements, or to issue new loans to replace the original deposit loans. Is there no need to repay the mortgage in advance?



Take a closer look and discuss with the bank? This seems a bit difficult. We know that the central bank is continuously lowering interest rates, and loan interest rates are also being lowered in order to stimulate consumption. As a result, the market has seen a batch of operating loans to replace real estate loans, leading to a significant decline in bank profits. When the real estate market is sluggish, when talking about real estate, people turn pale and choose to repay their loans in advance.



However, this will still breed intermediary business more often. It is normal for the economy to have cycles, and when it is low, there is no need to be too pessimistic. Real estate is a pillar industry globally, but it will only be more concentrated in a good position. Originally, everyone was a dividend beneficiary with their eyes closed, but now it has become a need for careful selection.



Additionally, due to the Hong Kong typhoon, the market is closed today,goldThe fluctuation is also relatively small. After the data was released last Friday, the market remained in a range of fluctuations, but it was still1953-1964A small range of fluctuations, the first two weeks were affected by economic data and non agricultural aspects, pushing prices upwards, and the current trend is mainly to repair the previous gains.



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As shown in the figure, the gold price has been arranged horizontally at a high level, and the pressure point above is1964Nearby, while the strong support below is1940-1935More attention can be paid to the rebound testing of the Eurasian region1956There is also a demand for correction in the weekly aspect of the nearby pressure level, and the market fluctuation is not too large1956-58The area can consider intervening in empty orders.



Gold Strategy: Rebound1956-58The area is empty and damaged1965, Objective1940-1935。



　　WTIcrude oilToday, oil prices are approaching75.2-75.5Empty area, loss76.2,target74-73.6。


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