Ultima MarketsMarket analysis: The gold silver ratio still exceeds80 The probability of silver rising is high

Today's Focus on Varieties--silver。

Fundamentally,U.S.A6monthCPI重新跌回“3字头”，消费者价格指数（CPI）Year-on-year increase3%，核心通胀率上涨4.8%, for2021年底以来的最低水平。此外，根据周三公布的美联储定期经济调查（即褐皮书），随着通胀显示出缓和迹象，物价自5月底以来仅小幅上涨。

由于消费者对通胀愈发敏感，一些企业不愿提高价格，这一定程度上造成未来物价上涨的预期总体稳定或较低。以上都导致今年年内美联储未来加息次数的预期大降，美元指数顺势跌破101、gold白银携手飙升。

Technically,黄金与白金技术图标上结构类似，但由于目前金银比仍处于高位，白银有一定的补涨概率。

（金银比仍高于80, byUltima Markets制作）

白银日线周期上6month23日的低点回踩至斐波那契61.8%位置，随后开启了上升趋势。

（白银日线周期图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

日线周期上，5日均线也明确上穿65日均线，关键在于行情价格若能回踩5日均线一带后再次多头向上，那白银的多头趋势将极大概率确认。

(Silver)4Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

4小时周期上，上方的24. 5美元是关键的多空分界点。行情在这一带或将遇阻。随即摆动指标上目前也超买严重，亚盘或仍将延续多头趋势，随后回踩后关注能否有效突破上述的多空分界线。这一定程度上将影响场外多头的情绪。

(Silver)1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level23.76，

23.76Upward bullish, first goal24.48Second objective24.85

23.76Under bearish, first target23.38Second objective22.68

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