CPT Markets：OPEC+Reduced production and strong demand support oil prices! Daily Focus on Annual Oil...

Brentcrude oil (Brent Oil)：

布伦特原油周一收盘微幅上涨后，今日开盘盘整在77.89附近，尽管受累于美国加息的可能性越来越大，但IEA预计油市今年下半年将趋紧，因OPEC+减产和需求强劲限制了油价跌幅。

在利多因素方面，周一国际能源署IEA署长 比罗尔 表示，尽管全球经济低迷，但中国和发展中国家的石油需求，加上OPEC+削减供应，可能会使油市今年下半年保持吃紧。这一总部设在巴黎的能源监督机构上月表示，近期最大石油进口国中国的需求反弹强劲，发达国家集团经合组织OECD以外的国家将占到今年需求增长的90%。同时，沙特阿拉伯将把其10010000 barrels/日的自愿减产延长到8月，俄罗斯将把原油出口量减少5010000 barrels/日。此外，美国三大股市全数收涨，包含标普指数收盘上涨0.26%The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher0.62%And the Nasdaq Index closed higher0.18%。

而在利空因素方面，周一几位美联储官员表示，可能需要进一步提高利率，以降低仍然过高的通胀，但目前的货币政策紧缩周期已经越来越接近尾声。根据CMEFederal Reserve observations indicate that the Federal Reserve7Monthly interest rate maintained at5.00%-5.25%The constant probability is7.6%Interest rate hike25Bps to5.25%-5.50%The probability of the interval is92.4%； reach9The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is5.7%Accumulated interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is71.2%Accumulated interest rate increase50The probability of a basis point is23.1%。

In summary, oil prices are affected byOPEC+减产和需求强劲而支撑，不过几位美联储官员称仍需进一步加息，限制了油价的涨势；日内重点将关注OPEC秘书长阿尔盖斯在尼日利亚阿布贾举行的年度油气能源会议上发表讲话、欧盟能源部长非正式会议举行及美联储官员讲话。

Press from above(Upper resistance) 77.80，78.20； From the downward direction, the lower support77.40。

CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.