Ultima MarketsMarket Review and Prospects: There are still suspense about the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike Newtonian..

Last week's market review

last weekU.S.A一系列经济数据表明美联储未来加息仍有悬念。美国5Monthly CorePCEPrice index annual rate recorded4.6%, lower than expected and previous values4.70%。 U.S.A5月个人支出月率录得0.1%，几乎陷入停滞。

数据公布后，美国短期利率futures交易员削减对美联储加息的押注。但是下半周ADP就业数据火热，推升了市场对于美联储进一步加息的预期，尤其是年底降息的可能性再度下行。

crude oil方面，国际原油本周开启反弹趋势，交易员消化了两大欧佩克+巨头的最新供应削减计划。本周原油EIAandIEA将公布最新的月度报告值得关注后续供给端的消息。

Market outlook

本周迎来两大央行利率决议——新西兰联储和加拿大央行。由于新西兰和加拿大的经济周期处于不同的阶段，因此两家央行的货币政策在7月份或将背道而驰。数据方面需要重点关注英国6月劳动力市场数据，英镑始终徘徊高位的背景下关注就业数据是否将引发英镑新一轮的升值趋势。

britain6Monthly unemployment rate

由于英国6The monthly interest rate has been raised50基点，引发了市场对于英国经济担忧的前景。6月英国失业率和薪资水平若超出预期，表明通胀仍有进一步上升，则将带动英央行进一步加息的可能性。

新西兰联储利率决议

由于前期新西兰联储加息过于激进，近期新西兰的财经数据显示经济正处于下滑态势。本次新西兰联储或将维持利率不变。重点关注新西兰联储对于未来经济的预期以及是否存在宽松周期的前瞻指引。

Bank of Canada Rate Resolution

6月加拿大央行重启了加息步伐，而加拿大经济在第二季度重新获得动力，这加强了7月份加息的理由。加拿大5monthGDPincrease0.4%，制造业、批发贸易和房地产领涨，尽管5monthCPI涨幅降至两年来最低水平，但加拿大央行可能需要再次加息，以挤出过剩需求。

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.Ultima MarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.Ultima MarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.