Ultima Markets【 Market Analysis 】 The pound is in a volatile situation Looking more at the face of the United States recently

Today's Focus on Varieties—GBP USD。

Fundamentally,由于市场预期英国利率的上升幅度将超出许多人最初的预测，并将在更长时间内保持在高位。英镑兑美元在今年上半年表现极佳，但是后续能否延续强势趋势还是个疑问。

目前市场对于英镑的判断极为尴尬，加息带来了高收益率，但同时也带动市场对于英国经济衰退的疲软预期，而本周英国国内方面几乎没有什么重要数据，英国央行官员的讲话也不多。英镑走势可能主要受美元影响。本周美国ISM数据带来的经济疲软预期，就导致了美元疲软英镑顺势大幅上涨。

Technically,pound4小时周期上的均线显示行情暂时不能说是进入了空头趋势。短期17周期均线仍然徘徊于65周期均线上方。

(GBP USD4Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltimaMarkets MT4）

stay4小时周期上，汇价一度跌破了65周期均线，但后续大实体阳K让英镑兑美元暂时避免了继续下跌调整。65周期均线也一定程度上阻止今日行情继续下行。

(GBP USD)1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

It is worth noting that,1小时周期上，行情明显正处于震荡盘整的结构——两根均线开始纠缠，汇价也徘徊于均线上下方，行情若跌破1.26908则日内英镑有继续下行的动力，但是仍需要警惕假突破的概率。

according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level1.27049，

1.27049Upward bullish, first goal1.27223Second objective1.27516

1.27049Under bearish, first target1.26753Second objective1.26581

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