The United States announced on Tuesday5Monthly rate of durable goods orders recorded1.7%Higher than market expectations-1.00%, previous value is1.10%。
Commentary states that the United States5月核心资本耐用品订单意外上升(预期为不变),但上月数据被下修,显示企业对新资本投资仍持谨慎态度,因借贷成本上升且经济前景不明朗。自2022year3月以来,美联储已将政策利率上调了500个基点。美联储已经暗示,今年还会有两次加息来冷却通胀。大多数经济学家预计今年年底会出现衰退。
United States6Consumer confidence index of the monthly consultation chamber recorded109.7Higher than market expectations104, previous value is102.3; U.S.A5Annualized total monthly sales of new homes76.3Higher than market expectations67.5, previous value is68.3; U.S.A6Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Record-7Higher than market expectations-12, previous value is-15.
According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve7Monthly interest rate maintained at5.00%-5.25%The constant probability is23.1%Interest rate hike25Bps to5.25%-5.50%The probability of the interval is76.9%; reach9The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is18.7%Accumulated interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is66.7%Accumulated interest rate increase50The probability of a basis point is14.6%。
Today's Gold Data:
14:00Germany7monthGfkConsumer confidence index
14:00britain6monthNationwideMonthly rate of housing price index
16:00Switzerland6monthZEWInvestor confidence index
波段走势上,黄金昨日呈冲高回落走势,结构内部存在两次高位滞涨反转走势。其一是亚盘时段,行情自短期区间震荡低位1922一带放量上冲1930位置,午间到欧盘时段均未能突破1930一带压制,迎来了第一波回吐行情;其二是美盘开盘时段,行情直接走出了冲高回落模式,金价自1919一带反转冲击1930一带之后,直接走出了三连阴杀跌模式,金价直接冲击近期结构低位1911一带,将上周五以来的结构涨幅尽数回吐,至此整体结构再回弱势震荡预期之中。今日以来,行情换线之后走双向整理模式,早间至此的涨幅已然回吐完毕,接下来重点看1910一带的得失变化。行情弱势,但是仍旧不建议在1910这一带直接追空,毕竟作为结构低位,其支撑效果已经受到了多次考验,还是稳健些为好。综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1922-1925Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1900-1905Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.
6.28Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:
Empty order strategy:
Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1920-1923Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1915-1910Nearby, break down and take a look1900frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)
Multiple order strategy:
Strategy 2: Gold Callback1900-1905Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1918-1922Nearby, break down and take a look1925frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)