Ultima Markets：【行情分析】日元继续贬值 距离日本央行干..

Today's Focus on Varieties--USD/JPY。

Fundamentally,随着鲍威尔在两院上的鹰派言论，美联储与日本央行的货币政策分歧预期再度拉大。由于目前日本依旧采取收益率曲线控制政策（YCC），这使得日本国债收益率远低于美国国债收益率，并令日元承压美日利差扩大。

从货币政策来看，只有日本央行政策转变或美国国债收益率下降才能扭转日元疲软的局面。虽然日元持续贬值有助于日本出口贸易，但是若进一步贬值，日本央行或将介入。

2022year9month22日，日本当局在日元兑美元迅速跌向146时进行了干预，并随后在10month21日该货币对迅速逼近152时进一步买入日元，累计花费约620亿美元干预市场以支撑日元。

Technically,美元兑日元日线周期上再度明确了多头趋势，上行通道线被突破后出现回踩结果，昨日大实体阳K则是明确了美元兑日元依旧存在上行动力。

(USD/JPY daily chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

行情若再度上行，则看向去年11月份期间形成的M顶颈线位置，距离目前依旧有235余点空间。

USD/JPY1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

需要注意的是1小时周期上，行情同样突破上行通道线，目前处于回踩调整中。基于目前随即摆动指标超买严重，行情需要充分回调后才有进一步上行的动力，关注随机摆动指标金叉信号的出现。

USD/JPY1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level142.641，

142.641Upward bullish, first goal143.693Second objective144.258

142.641Under bearish, first target142.057Second objective141.030

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