Ultima Markets：【行情分析】避免美联储影响 看下交叉货币...

Today's Focus on Varieties--欧元兑英镑。

Fundamentally,英国将于今天公布官方劳动力市场数据。英国央行担心的工资-物价螺旋式上升问题就看今天会不会呈现出来。这将决定未来英国央行紧缩政策是否将进一步加大力度。不过由于上周市场已经大幅押注英国央行的加息路径，因此若数据并非太夸张，英镑的上行潜力也应该有限。

相反，若就业人口未出现紧张以及薪资上涨压力得到缓解，则这意味着市场将不得不降低其对英国央行的利率预期，届时英镑将面临下行压力。在本周美联储利率决议前，避免市场无序波动可以寻找交叉货币对的交易机会，例如组成美元指数的主要货币欧元。

Technically,欧元兑英镑的日线周期上，在前期下跌趋势的61.8%斐波那契扩展位置受阻，随即震荡指标的底背离信号也暗示欧元兑英镑的下行动力在衰减。

（欧元兑英镑日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

昨日汇率收破在5日绿色的移动平均线上方，意味着当前的下跌趋势大概率结束，近期将进入调整甚至反转。

（欧元兑英镑4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

欧元兑英镑4小时周期上亚盘目前遇阻65周期均线，亚盘大概率将维持震荡，等待下午数据公布后关注是否有交易机会。值得注意的是欧元兑英镑目前上涨动力过于强劲，行情在65均线附近存在较长时间调整的可能性。

（欧元兑英镑1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level0.85808，

0.85808Upward bullish, first goal0.86242Second objective0.86490

0.85808Under bearish, first target0.85556Second objective0.85145

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