Ultima Markets: 【 Market Analysis 】 The Canadian dollar meets a critical price point Trading requires patient waiting

今日重点关注的品种——USD to CAD。

Fundamentally，昨日美联储票委哈克出席活动时就全球宏观经济发表讲话，对于6月加息呈保留态度，认为6月可能跳过加息。鸽派发言让市场对于6月美联储加息的概率降至3Cheng.

此外，昨日公布的美国劳动力空缺人数之差出乎市场预料，这让美联储推进紧缩货币政策的概率也进一步下降。今天重点关注今日晚间美国ADP就业数据及制造业PMI指数，若仍然不足预期，美元将进一步下跌。

Technically speaking，美元兑加元昨日大幅度下跌，目前形成M头的顶部结构，前期支撑价位目前成为颈线阻碍美元兑加元进一步下跌，若破位则M顶理论下方第一目标位为1.34815。

USD to CAD4Hour chart, sourceUltimaMarkets MT4）

不过值得注意的是，随即震荡指标并未显示顶背离的状态，而昨日下跌速度过快也导致行情存在优先反弹的可能。美元兑加元需等待明确破位结构发生后才值得关注交易机会。

USD to CAD1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltimaMarkets MT4）

according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level1.35978，

1.35978Upward bullish, first goal1.36270Second objective1.36795

1.35978Under bearish, first target1.35451Second objective1.35161

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