Ultima MarketsMarket analysis: Silver bulls begin to layout Future price or...

近期重点关注的品种——silver。

Fundamentally，美联储的紧缩政策预期导致gold白银在短期均面临着下跌压力。但是随着新兴市场尤其是中国的经济复苏，或将增强白银的需求。随着新能源的推进，白银的工业采购同样不断高涨。反观供应端，创纪录的全球白银需求和供应不足已经导致去年2.377亿盎司的市场缺口，连续第二年出现赤字。

此外，从金银比角度来看，目前已经来到了85比例，这意味着85盎司白银才能买到1盎司黄金。从基本金银供给关系比例来看，通常这一比例应该在80Below.

（金银比日线周期上在逐渐走窄）

目前金银比的价差日线上正在逐渐收窄，未来白银有强烈的补涨需求。

Technically speaking，艾略特波浪结构来看，白银在上周完成明确的5波下跌后，4小时周期上整体的浪2下跌疑似在回撤位50%附近完成。

(Silver)4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

而从上周五和昨日的整体结构来看，有一定概率表明驱动浪3即将来临，后续有一定概率迎来上涨趋势。

(Silver)1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

白银价位目前受阻于23.3一带，等待行情向上突破时，可关注ATR策略指标以确定是否突破有效。本周白银若出现有效破位，则回踩后值得关注入场时机。

(Silver)1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level23.13，

23.13Upward bullish, first goal23.36Second objective23.55

23.13Under bearish, first target22.93Second objective22.71

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