Ultima Markets: 【 Market Analysis 】 纽联储摊牌了 后续不加息了 Newtonian...

今日重点关注的品种——纽元兑美元。

Fundamentally，新西兰联储今日上午宣布最新的利率决议，25个基点的加息决定是预料之中，但是随之而来的鸽派言论对纽元产生了极大的负面影响。新西兰联储暗示利率已经达到峰值的信号，市场预期本轮加息周期似乎已经结束。新西兰预期官方现金利率（OCR）将不会再上升，并将从2024年第三季度开始下调。

随后新西兰联储主席奥尔补充强调，官方现金利率（OCR）前景主要取决于核心通胀走势。利率决议后，纽元兑美元NZD/USD短线下挫超60点，是2001The largest decline since the beginning of the year.

Technically speaking，1小时周期上，纽元兑美元在昨日跌破支撑线时ATR组合指标处于金叉态势，而美盘后的回踩更是确立了空头压力大增。

(NZD to USD)1小时周期图，来自Ultima MarketsMT4）

纽元兑美元在昨日200周期均线附近出现裸K的看跌吞没后，技术角度上空头强度更大。同时短期均线组并未上穿200EMA，意味着行情仍处于空头趋势中。

（纽元兑美元日线图，来自Ultima Markets MT4）

行情在彻底跌破0.61785后，下方空间或看向0.611一带，该区域是等比斐波纳奇扩展位目标位，同时也是上行趋势线一带的潜在支撑位。

（纽元兑美元日线图，来自Ultima Markets MT4）

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.Ultima MarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.