Guide Metallographer:5.22今日黄金走势分析，加息减弱但降息不增

　　goldMessage interpretation:


Monday(5month22day)，国际金价小幅承压。但围绕美国债务上限的讨论旷日持久，美联储主席鲍威尔的言论不那么鹰派，料继续限制金价下行空间。鉴于美国潜在违约可能发生在美联储下次会议之前，黄金交易者将更多地从债务上限谈判进展中找寻线索。


　　受上周美国经济数据乐观和之前一些美联储官员鹰派言论影响，市场对美联储6月继续加息的押注有所增加，2023年降息的呼声有所下降，金价当周收跌。但在美国政策制定者发出的混合信息中，美元上周末高位回落，给黄金喘息之机。


　　City Index高级市场分析师马特·辛普森表示，对债务上限的担忧仍然是支撑金价的关键支柱，因为谈判又持续了一周，跌破2000美元后买家选择低位建仓。


　　美国总统拜登和众议院共和党议长凯文·麦卡锡将于周一开会讨论债务上限问题，本周能否达成解决方案将受到密切关注。上周五(5month19day)，双方谈判破裂，金价当天收高1%。


　　黄金修正反弹可能与有关债务上限到期的担忧不一有关，因为美国总统拜登似乎希望避免违约，但共和党人似乎不太愿意放低要求，而这又使之前的谈判陷入僵局。


　　美联储主席鲍威尔表示，仍不清楚美国利率是否需要进一步上升，因为过去加息的影响存在不确定性，近期银行信贷收紧，事实证明通胀难以控制。这番话同样支撑金价走高。


　　同样，明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡里在接受《华尔街日报》采访时排除了市场对美联储结束加息的预期。政策制定者还表示，他可能支持在美联储下次会议上维持利率不变。


　　City Index的辛普森补充道：“黄金将更多地从债务上限(进展)中找寻线索，因为美国违约可能发生在美联储下次会议之前，这肯定会对美联储的决定产生影响。”


Technical analysis of gold:


On Friday, the gold market experienced strong volatility, and although there was a rebound in the US market during the trading period, it remained under pressure1988-1990First line, followed by another downward adjustment. On the daily structure, there is an expectation of expansion and adjustment space in the market, with early lows below1950-1952Regional retracement does not even rule out the possibility of a new low. But from4According to the hourly chart, the short-term market has fallen to1970It is expected that there will be competition on the front line, but the market actually drops to a small low point in the early stage1958-1950Adjacent adjustments also fall within the reasonable range. The hourly chart level indicator is oversold, so the overall trend structure has not been disrupted, and there is still a possibility of providing some rebound momentum, but as long as the upper part cannot pass through2000-1998Nearby pressure. So its downward trend is still very obvious. Follow above next week1988-1990Short pressure test, strong resistance, continue to focus on2000Below this level, we continue to be bearish on gold. If the market returns2022Above, then the intraday decline may lose its bearish impact.


Looking at the gold trend, the structural bearish trend is not yet complete, and the current gold price is1950There has been some support near the checkpoint, and there is also a demand for small rebounds and volatile adjustments in the short term,50Daily moving average front support level1985-1995The US dollar has become a resistance level, and gold prices can only rebound above the above level and remain stable,1950-1960If the range forms support, the probability of stopping the decline next week is high, and there may only be further upward and upward movements in the future2030-2050If gold falls below next week1950Only then can the gold price further decline, and we will pay attention to it1930-1920Support. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest that the main focus is to rebound and short, supplemented by a pullback and long, with a focus on the short-term above1990-1992Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1960-1950Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　5.22Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1986-1988Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1980-1970Nearby, break down and take a look1960frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1960-1963Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1970-1980Nearby, break down and take a look1985frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)