Guide Metallographer:5.15今日黄金走势分析，央行增加储备，金价就...

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　上周五黄金价格出现了小幅回落，目前仅处于2000大关稍微的位置，本周或将重点考验这一关口位置的支撑情况。此前公布了一系列的关键经济数据，尽管显示通胀有所回落，但是现阶段美联储的态度还是存在不确定性，但近期的债务危机提供了利好，本周的重点无疑是关注美联储重要官员的讲话为主。


　　指南金师现货黄金参考新闻：对经济增长放缓的担忧支持了避险金价。周四早些时候公布的中国通胀数据喜忧参半，加剧了经济放缓的担忧。国家统计局报告说，中国4月份的总体CPIRising0.1％，是2021year2月以来的最低水平，进一步证明了国内需求的疲软。


Focus on spot gold market today:


United States5Monthly New York Fed Manufacturing Index;


　　2024yearFOMC票委、亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克在亚特兰大联储主办的会议上致欢迎词；


　　2023yearFOMC票委、明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利发表讲话；


　　2024yearFOMC票委、里奇蒙德联储主席巴尔金发表讲话。


　　指南金师提别提醒：日内市场基本面的关键数据并不多，反而事件上迎来了一系列的美联储官员讲话，这也是本周的焦点所在，另外市场会继续发酵上周的通胀数据以及接下来的债务危机问题，开始会酝酿下次决议的停止加息可能。


Technical analysis of gold:


Last Friday, I received a small shade, showing three consecutive shades. The three consecutive shades were close2For the first time in the past month, there have been very few occurrences, which indicates that it is highly likely to close today, end the three yin periods, and continue the oscillating pattern; Moreover, although the three yin periods appeared, the downward trend was not significant, and the secondary support for the early low point of the large yin period was not significant2000The upper part stabilizes, punctures the middle track, and shows signs of forming a double bottom; Short term Today's moving average5Rihe10Daily pressure2021、2028Once we can stand firm2028If it continues to rise, it will strengthen and rise again in the short term, in order to continue hitting historical highs; And once the fierce attack approaches the high position again, it will still repeatedly rise and suppress for interval oscillation, because the correspondingmacdAlways at the top deviation, not yet below the zero axis for correction;


Gold Test2000A double bottom stabilization is formed near the front low support, leading to another rebound2022-23Strong pressure, causing short-term fluctuations again. Although the short-term trend has not continued to weaken, the monthly pattern has formed three peaks at a high level, and it is also a daily upward trend line that suppresses pressure and falls back. From the daily rhythm, gold is indeed strong, but it has risen in consecutive bullish periods, peaked at a single bearish point, and fell back. Last week, after continuous fluctuations and adjustments, the price did not recover from the top of the daily bearish line. On the contrary, the longer the fluctuation time, the greater the risk of falling back. At the same time, the US dollar100.8A double bottom has formed nearby and stabilized. Last week's rise broke the recent low consolidation high, and the US dollar has shown a short-term bottoming pattern. The rise of the US dollar will suppress gold. The key nodes in the golden trend are still2000Double bottom support, although continuously fluctuating to break the strong form, must fall below2000The peak can only be established in the short term.


From the perspective of the market trend structure of gold, the recent three reverse draws have all fallen and the downward trend has ended. Therefore, the short-term rebound has a certain degree of inducement, not a true rebound and upward form, but a secondary rebound forming a downward trend, with the main theme still being a bearish downward trend. We also need to pay attention to whether the conditions for intraday weakness can fall below again2007If it falls below, it can also be drawn back and continue to look empty2000Nearby. If there is an unexpected upward breakthrough within the day2023The pattern does not necessarily mean a reversal or oscillation, it is just that the intraday increase is too high, and the probability of breaking the low is relatively small. Pay attention to the downward trend line in a volatile market2028After the strong pressure performance, continue to see a decline. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest a rebound and short selling as the main approach, supplemented by a pullback and long selling. The short-term focus should be on the upper part2020-2022Frontline resistance, short-term focus below2000-1990Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　5.15Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds2020-2022Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target2010-2000Nearby, break down and take a look1990frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1990-1992Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target2000-2005Nearby, break down and take a look2010frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)