Guide Metallographer:5.11今日黄金走势分析，中美通胀数据双双回落

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　昨天晚上美国劳工统计局公布了4月份最新的CPI数据，与此同时，今天中国统计部门也公布了国内的通胀数据，从对比来看，中美的通胀明显不是一个阶段，美国4monthCPIYear-on-year increase4.9%, consecutive times10次下降，为2021year4月以来最小同比涨幅，预期5%, Previous value5%；CPIMonth on month increase0.4%, expected0.4%, Previous value0.1%。


　　不包括波动较大的能源和食品的核心CPI, year-on-year increase5.5%，与预期持平，前值5.6%；环比上升0.4%, expected0.4%, Previous value0.4%，可以说基本没啥变化。


　　美联储最爱“超级核心通胀”，(剔除住房的核心服务通胀)同比增速降至5.16%, creating2022year5The lowest since the beginning of the month.


　　而中国方面，4monthCPIYear-on-year increase0.1%, compared to3Of0.7%有所下降，增幅为2021year2月以来最低水平，环比下降0.1%，较上月的下降0.3%有所回升。扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPIYear-on-year increase0.7%，涨幅与上月相同，环比由上月持平转为上涨0.1%


　　另外中国还公布了4monthPPI数据，同比下降3.6%，降幅不仅较3月进一步扩大，还创下2020year5月以来最大纪录，环比由上月持平转为下降0.5%。


　　不出意外的话，晚上美国的PP数据也不会高，总体上看，美国的通胀已经得到了明显的遏制，而中国甚至有点要通缩的意思了，这点虽然官方不承认，起码也是供大于求的。


Today's Gold Data:


　　19:00Bank of England Announces Interest Rate Resolutions and Meeting Minutes


　　19:30Bank of England Governor Bailey Holds a Press Conference


　　20:30From the United States to5month6Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week


　　20:30U.S.A4monthPPIAnnual and monthly rates


　　22:15Federal Reserve Governor Waller delivers a speech


Technical analysis of gold:


Gold returned under pressure yesterday and returned as expected before late trading2030Shake up and down, enjoy beautyCPIAffected by data, the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy are unclear, and gold experienced a brief upward trend, measuring pressure to2048After a significant retracement of gains, it fell to2020After the first line, there was a rebound and oscillation, and the daily line finally closed with a negative star line with up and down shadow lines5Near the daily line.


From the perspective of daily structure, although there is data impact, gold's performance yesterday did not exceed the technical range and surged to the upper edge of the range2048-50The pressure level falls back and eventually retracts5Near the daily line, there are up and down shadow lines, which not only indicate the current weakness of the bulls' uptrend, but also indicate that there is a stalemate between the long and short sides. From a technical perspective alone, there is still a possibility of continued adjustment in the short-term market. However, there are still significant uncertainties in gold at present. Firstly, at the daily level, technically, the daily moving average has crossed upwards. If there is no effective spatial retreat in the short term, the cross upward state of the moving average may strengthen bulls' confidence; Secondly, facing short positions in gold in the near future is also very unfavorable. If there is no bearish news in the short term to trigger a pullback in market space, then the confidence of bulls will gradually increase in the process of shock digestion. In terms of daily structure, gold may face significant selection risks today, and the upper part can focus on yesterday's high points and the upper edge of the range2047-50Under pressure, there will still be5Daily line2030-27As the key to short-term competition, you can continue to follow below10Daily line2020Nearby competition, if the market falls below10Daily line, then look below20Daily line2010-07Competition in the region, technically more inclined to fall back to the market20The volatility near the daily line provides support and consolidation, but the current bullish sentiment in the market is extreme, making it difficult to achieve this expectation in the short term.


Gold4The hour chart is accompanied by a rising and falling trend, with a longer upper shadow crossing the shadeKLine, but the end of the day still closed at2030Neutral position, no further breakdown due to any downward movement2000Gateway.4Houbulin Road is still closing in, and to further decline, the prerequisite is to have the momentum to break through2000At the checkpoint, we can further see the downward space. Currently, we are repeatedly organizing, but we are still stabilizing2000Above the integer level, the market is still volatile above this level, and in the short term, it may be accompanied by repeated highs and lows to accumulate momentum and move forward. The uncertain weather of the US dollar and insufficient sustainability of bullish and bearish positions make it difficult for gold to move unilaterally for the time being. Waiting for the momentum to break. Follow above in the day2040Nearby short pressure, hourly chart level range, upper edge pressure level, lower attention2020Competition, the middle zone of the hour chart interval, followed by attention below2013-10The lower edge of the hour chart interval. Technically speaking, the market may be more inclined towards correction and adjustment, but this week's performance is still bullish and emotional, which is also a key factor hindering the normal operation of the market. The key is whether it can open up space when falling from the upper track to the lower track2000The gains and losses of integer levels are maintained within a certain range to see fluctuations. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest that the main focus is to rebound and short, supplemented by a pullback and long, with a focus on the short-term above2040-2045Frontline resistance, short-term focus below2010-13Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　5.11Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds2038-2040Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target2030-2020Nearby, break down and take a look2010frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback2010-2012Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target2020-2030Nearby, break down and take a look2035frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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