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CPT Markets : FED紧缩预期上升令金价震荡交投!本周聚焦欧美...

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CPT Markets : FED紧缩预期上升令金价震荡交投!本周聚焦欧美...21 / author:CPT / PostsID:1720784
gold兑美元上周五收盘微幅下跌后,今日开盘盘整在1989.92附近,因强劲的通胀数据继续突显出潜在通胀的粘性,这将促使央行进一步收紧政策,导致金价下行疲软震荡。

在利空因素方面,虽然美国第一季度GDP表现不佳,但有关通胀的细节令人印象深刻,足以提升市场对美联储的鹰派押注。美英欧区等发达经济体正面临高通胀的高温,预计各国央行将进一步加息,这将给经济增长前景带来压力。美联储和英国央行预计在5月货币政策会议上将借贷成本再次上调25个基点,而市场预计欧洲央行也将加息25个基点,也可能甚至加息50Basis points.

而在利多因素方面,美国今年第一季度国内生产总值数据低于预期,提振了市场对经济放缓的担忧情绪,美国经济衰退可能引发其他经合组织国家的需求下降。美国第一季度国内生产总值为1.1%,而市场预期是将自前值2.6%降到2.0%。根据最新一批美国经济数据,尤其是美联储地区银行的制造业和商业活动指数显示出经济持续减速。此外,美国银行业担忧情绪激发市场的避险,第一共和国银行FRB计划出售一半的贷款,以填补1000亿美元的存款外逃缺口,对美国银行业影响的担忧再次加剧。

总而言之,金价受美国进一步收紧政策而震荡下挫,不过美国经济数据不佳,加深经济衰退担忧,伴随美国银行业担忧和债务上限等因素,限制了金价的跌势;本周将聚焦欧美央行利率决议及美国非农就业报告。

Press from above(Upper resistance) 1989.90,1991.20; From the downward direction, the lower support1987.60。
CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.



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