Chen Jianhao;4.28Today's gold trend analysis and operational strategies,...

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　　goldLatest market trend analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Friday（4month28During the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in1988.86dollar/Around ounces, overnight in the first quarter of the United StatesGDPThe data fell short of expectations, but in the first quarterPCEThe strong performance of the data has strengthened the expectation of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates next week. US Treasury yields recorded their largest daily increase in nearly three months, and gold prices briefly fell to1980Below the gate,Facebookparent companyMeta Platforms IncThe strong quarterly report helped the US stock market soar and weakened the safe haven buying demand for gold. The analyst said, "If we do get a hotter tomorrowPCEFrom the perspective of global metal market demand, this will be unfavorable for gold, as there is a prospect of further interest rate hikes.    Although gold is a safe haven during periods of economic uncertainty, stubborn inflation may lead the Federal Reserve to extend its monetary tightening policy, reducing the attractiveness of non yield gold. Market analysis suggests that although interest rate hikes are unfavorable for gold as they do not provide any returns, they may also be beneficial for gold as raising interest rates increases the likelihood of another banking crisis.

Overall, in the first quarter of the United StatesPCEAfter the release of initial data, the market's response to the Federal Reserve5The expectation of monthly interest rate hikes is more firm, which is beneficial for6The expectation of another interest rate hike in the month has increased, while the expectation of a rate cut within the year has cooled down, which has helped the US Treasury yield soar and added short-term downward pressure on gold prices. The European Central Bank is expected to at least raise interest rates50The expectation of one basis point also means that the opportunity cost of holding gold will further increase, and gold prices have repeatedly surged2000The checkpoint is obstructed, and the risk of short-term downward trend has increased. Gold prices may test the Bollinger Line's downward trajectory within the day1966.92Nearby support. In addition, on this trading day, attention should also be paid to the Bank of Japan's interest rate resolution, as well as Germany, France, and the Eurozone in the first quarterGDPData, keep an eye on Germany4Monthly employment data andCPIdata

Technical analysis of gold: Gold fluctuated in a tug of war yesterday, with a daily closing cross starKLine, maintain the expected back and forth sawing within the previous interval, with resistance at the upper rail position2000-2010.Support at the lower rail1976-1972In the short term, it did not break through the range and remained within the range. Today's weekly closing may further exacerbate the back and forth fluctuations in this range. In the stage of accumulating momentum to break through, the most important thing is to wash the plate. The short-term uncertainty of the US dollar also makes it difficult for gold to temporarily move out of one direction. In terms of operation, it is better to first observe the oscillation within the range, and then adjust the thinking after breaking through the level.4The hourly chart maintains a back and forth sweep between the upper and lower tracks of Bollinger Road. Short term in2010-2015Strong resistance is formed at the platform resistance point, which is also on the Bollinger track. Currently, the resistance is moving downwards1998-2000.Blindo is in a contracting state, waiting for a breakthrough. The hourly chart repeatedly rises and falls to a low level, appearing slightly weaker. But before breaking through, I dare not be overly bearish. I still look for fluctuations within the range, maintain the oscillation mentality within the range for the time being, and follow up after breaking through. In summary, Chen Jianhao suggests that gold's trading strategy for today should focus on rebounding at a high altitude, supplemented by a pullback at a low level. The focus should be on the above2004-2009Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1974-1969Frontline support.Any additionVXFree one-on-one guidance for joining the group, with a win rate of 100%95Chen Jianhao's official WeChat account:wy39749  

　　crude oilLatest market trend analysis:

Analysis of crude oil message surface:4month28At the beginning of the Asian market on Friday, US crude oil was trading at74.72dollar/Near the bucket; Oil prices rose on Thursday, recovering some of the losses from the previous trading day. Earlier, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak stated that the global oil market was balanced, and the United States added new sanctions against Russia and Iran to limit the decline in oil prices. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak stated on Thursday that the global oil market is balanced, despite lower than expected Asian demandOPEC+The major oil producing countries believe that there is no need to further reduce oil production, but the organization is always able to adjust its policies when necessary. Novak said that despite the International Energy Agency(IEA)The reduction in production may exacerbate the supply shortage that will occur in the second half of this year, butOPEC+There is no expectation of a shortage in the global oil market.

Market analysts say that the International Energy Agency(IEA)should Be very cautious about further weakening investment in the oil industry. He said,OPECandOPEC+Not targeting oil prices, but focusing on market fundamentals, blaming and distorting the actions of oil exporting countries and their allies will only be counterproductive. Overall, the decline in oil prices is limited by the balance of the global oil market and the tense geopolitical situation; Although there are still concerns about an economic recession, the addition of new sanctions by the United States against Russia and Iran has intensified the risk of uncertainty. Further attention will be paid to the relevant response measures of the Russian side, and short-term oil prices may remain stable75dollar/Shockwave near the barrel gate.

Technical analysis of crude oil: Yesterday's Little Yang Star of crude oilKLine rebound consolidation correction, with limited space for movement. After the second wave of decline, there was a slight slowdown in some areas, and the daily trend remained bearishKLine to small positive correction, solidKThe line is not large and belongs to a weak correction. The future will still rely on it79.0Taking a defensive position to further observe the downward trend, local rebounds are also aimed at accumulating momentum to break through and lower. Today's weekly closing, the short term may have twists and turns, and the resistance point above is still there76.0-76.20.4The hourly chart is still in a downward trend with two waves, and currently the top to bottom transition coincides with the mid orbit resistance of the Bollinger Road76.20Nearby. Due to yesterday's horizontal consolidation and correction, the short-term trend is currently stalled. There are two common ways in a downward trend: one is to directly decline after horizontal consolidation and correction, and the other is to rebound and correct after consolidation and then accumulate momentum for a downward trend. Today's strength should pay attention to the European market, and short-term operations within the day are to avoid short positions. Overall, Chen Jianhao suggests that the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today should mainly focus on rebounding at high altitudes, supplemented by a pullback at low altitudes, with a focus on short-term operations above75.8-76.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below73.5-73.0Frontline support.Any additionVXFree one-on-one guidance for joining the group, with a win rate of 100%95Chen Jianhao's official WeChat account:wy39749  

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This article is provided by Chen Jianhao. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and others. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal advice. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.

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