Song Yiyang:4.25Gold was once recaptured1990Gateway Can it continue? Today's trend analysis

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Market Inventory

The United States announced on Monday night4The Dallas Federal Reserve's Business Activity Index and Manufacturing Output Index both fell short of expectations in the month, sparking concerns about a slowdown in the US economy, with the US dollar index falling as low as101.33Closing down0.33%Report101.35。

US Treasury yields have fallen, with two-year and10The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds has decreased by more than6Basis points, the yield of two-year US Treasury bonds will decrease from4.18%lower4.09%，10The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds will decrease from3.57%fall to3.49%。 In addition, due to concerns about the economic outlook and debt ceiling, the short-term insurance cost to prevent technical defaults on US bonds has risen to a historic high.

SpotgoldBenefiting from the decline in the US dollar index and US bond yields, it briefly rebounded during the session1990The US dollar level, followed by a slight decline and a close up0.32%Report1989.17dollar/ounce. Spot silver briefly fell to24.79dollar/Ounces, then stand up again25USD level, closing up0.3%Report25.16dollar/ounce.

　　【4.25Analysis of Gold Market

Yesterday, the gold market continued to test the support of the upward trend line in this round and pulled up, with early trading at1980.6The position of the market has slightly increased and given1986.9After its position, the market quickly fell and the daily line reached its lowest point1973.8The market has been strongly supported by the upward trend line in this round, and the daily peak has reached1991After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at1989After the position of the market is closed with a long shadow line in the middle, and after this form of closure, the daily line effectively confirms support and forms a pregnant line structure. Today's market is much higher and lower

On Monday night, the United States announced4Monthly Dallas Fed Business Activity Index, recorded-23.4, expected-11, Previous value-15.7。 Data shows that the downward pressure on the US economy remains significant, in line with previousCPIAccording to non farm employment data, market concerns about the future recession of the US economy have further deepened, leading to a decline in the US dollar index and a stable rebound in gold prices. In the future, the first quarter of the United States will be announced this ThursdayGDPData, current market expectations are actualGDPThe growth rate is2%Compared to the previous mild decline, pay attention to the actual data fulfillment situation. If the performance falls short of expectations, gold may still have an upward drive before May Day.

On Monday, the daily line closes positive, and on1998Above, whether it's in the early stages1970Low point, still from yesterday1974Low point, showing the effect of support below, with daily continuous rise above or below2015See you later, break the line2030High point, under this bullish trend, if you don't guess the high point, you may once again come out of the bullish market. Of course, now4In the latter half of the month, there is little chance of another sharp rise or fall this week, so the market is waiting5Monthly non agricultural data,cpiData, and5The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates this month. Therefore, do not have any thoughts about the sudden rise and fall of gold this week.

FromH4As can be seen from the cycle, although Tuesday is bullish and there is still room for improvement, it will not be very large. For the time being, the market will be temporarily closed, and the pressure point on the upper track will be2010/2012Nearby, which means there will be10/12The US dollar space is a critical suppression point, if it breaks through2010/2012Suppression point,H4The cycle can open up the Bollinger, and the upward momentum will only erupt again. Therefore, let's take a look at the bullish trend today2012Gains and losses, however, are seen in terms of strong fluctuations, followed by a sharp rise when breaking through. For the intraday market, the early morning surge is an extremely strong performance, and the bullish trend is not chasing the bullish trend. It is expected to be supported below1990Nearby; Wait until the mid-term bull trend is over before we see if it is fluctuating or continuing to strengthen.

Operational strategy:

　　1.Gold Suggestion Today's Market1985Many, conservative1982Multiple, stop loss1979, look at the goal2002and2012； Short selling rebound2002reach2006Regional participation, stop loss2015The goals are all1990reach1985Area;

　　【crude oilMarket Analysis

The US crude oil market opened yesterday at77.82After the position, the market first fell, and the daily line reached its lowest point76.68After its position, the market rose strongly and reached its highest point on the daily line79.25After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at78.69After the position, the market closed with a hammer head shape with a very long shadow line, and after this shape ended, the market still experienced a lot of rebound today.

Operational strategy:

Crude Oil Suggestion Today's Market77.9Multiple, stop loss77.3, look at the goal78.7and79.25； Break the position to see79.9and80.1-80.5；

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)