Guide Metallographer:4.24Today's Gold Trend Analysis, Gold Rebound Continues to Open Short

　　goldMessage interpretation:


To be announced this Friday5The most important data before the month is that of the United StatesPCE个人消费支出物价指数，在此之前呢，同样也是一个偏清淡的行情，因为也进入了美联储加息前的静默期。


　　说到美联储加息，上周市场对于5月加息的预期有所升温(+25BP概率为89%), and even6month(23%)and9月是否继续加息都进入了讨论范围之内，这也缓解了美元指数之前疲软的态势。


　　商品货币方面，由于crude oil和矿石等资产价格走低，带动大宗市场一起回落。


　　人民币方面，虽然上周公布的一季度经济数据超预期的好，但潜在的中美经济摩擦加剧，以及美国可能签署新的对华经济限制命令都会使得人民币汇率继续承压，7.0关口似乎越来月不牢靠！


Today's Gold Data:


　　16:00Germany4monthIFOBusiness Prosperity Index


　　22:30U.S.A4Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for the Month


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金上周承压震荡回修，下方回撤1970一线附近，但盘中行情反复，日k线阴阳交错，多空转换频繁，周五行情再次迎来一波深跌，行情下探至1970附近，日内反弹继续以空为主。日线级别再次击穿中轨支撑，区间逐步收窄，随机指标死叉，MACD死叉向下，震荡中行情偏空运行，4小时级别行情反弹上轨压力收长上影线后下跌，布林带处于开口期，KDJ随机指标三线向下，目前走势仍是偏弱运行，上方关注1988-90一线压力，操作上反弹空的思路。


　　那么今日而言，周一，黄金早间开盘1981附近，技术面来看，日线M5均线压制下移至1993附近，同样的，周五M5均线压制平移处于1988附近，这一点来说，今日，各位首先就是关注此1990附近这两压制位能否遭遇拉升上破了，一旦上破，那么毫无疑问，多头进一步关注2000-2010附近压制情况来做空即可。对于下方而言，今日重点还是关注1970关口得失情况，如果遭遇下破，那么毫无疑问，空头将进一步下看1955附近斐波那契38.2支撑线以及前期1950附近支撑关口即可，强势下破则进一步下看1950-1930。当然了，具体操作细节，实盘更新给出，各位切记严格按照我的实盘建议来把控仓位以及止损跟进即可。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1987-1990Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1950-1955Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　4.24Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1985-1987Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1975-1965Nearby, break down and take a look1955frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1953-1955Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1960-1965Nearby, break down and take a look1970frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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