Guide Metallographer:4.24Today's gold trend analysis, US economic data higher than expected

Market Review:


InternationalgoldFriday(4month21day)Volatile closing price2002.42dollar/Ounces, highest price2008.15dollar/Ounces, lowest price1971.44dollar/Ounces, closing price1975.67dollar/ounce.


Interpretation of the Golden News:


The United States announced on Friday4monthMarkitService industryPMIInitial value recorded53.7Higher than market expectations51.5, previous value is52.6； U.S.A4monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIInitial value recorded50.4Higher than market expectations49, previous value is49.2.


　　评论称，最新调查进一步表明，在截至1Of the month7个月收缩后，商业活动已恢复增长势头。最新数据表明GDPThe annualized growth rate is slightly higher than2%。令人放心的是，增长的基础也很广泛，由于大流行后消费从商品转向服务业，尽管商品生产商也报告了需求再次回升的迹象。就业增长随着需求的复苏而加速，有报道称职位空缺更容易填补，反映出候选人供应的改善和工资的上涨。


　　库克表示，美联储正在权衡过去几个月经济指标所显示出的影响，以及近期银行业发展可能带来的不利影响。他表示，如果融资环境收紧对经济构成重大不利影响，那么联邦基金利率的路径可能会适当低于没有出现银行危机时的利率路径。但如果数据显示经济持续走强，通货紧缩放缓，美联储则可能还有更多工作要做。同时，他还指出，美联储在制定货币政策时，将继续以就业最大化和物价稳定的双重目标为指导，致力于使通胀回到2%The goal of.


The world's largest goldETF--SPDR Gold TrustPosition decrease compared to the previous day2.89Tons, current position is923.68Tons.


According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve5The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is10.9%Interest rate hike25The probability of a basis point is89.1%； reach6The probability of maintaining monthly interest rates at the current level is8%Accumulated interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is68.6%Accumulated interest rate increase50The probability of a basis point is23.4%。


Today's Gold Data:


　　16:00Germany4monthIFOBusiness Prosperity Index


　　22:30U.S.A4Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for the Month


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金上周承压震荡回修，下方回撤1970一线附近，但盘中行情反复，日k线阴阳交错，多空转换频繁，周五行情再次迎来一波深跌，行情下探至1970附近，日内反弹继续以空为主。日线级别再次击穿中轨支撑，区间逐步收窄，随机指标死叉，MACD死叉向下，震荡中行情偏空运行，4小时级别行情反弹上轨压力收长上影线后下跌，布林带处于开口期，KDJ随机指标三线向下，目前走势仍是偏弱运行，上方关注1988-90一线压力，操作上反弹空的思路。


　　那么今日而言，周一，黄金早间开盘1981附近，技术面来看，日线M5均线压制下移至1993附近，同样的，周五M5均线压制平移处于1988附近，这一点来说，今日，各位首先就是关注此1990附近这两压制位能否遭遇拉升上破了，一旦上破，那么毫无疑问，多头进一步关注2000-2010附近压制情况来做空即可。对于下方而言，今日重点还是关注1970关口得失情况，如果遭遇下破，那么毫无疑问，空头将进一步下看1955附近斐波那契38.2支撑线以及前期1950附近支撑关口即可，强势下破则进一步下看1950-1930。当然了，具体操作细节，实盘更新给出，各位切记严格按照我的实盘建议来把控仓位以及止损跟进即可。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1987-1990Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1950-1955Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　4.24Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1985-1987Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1975-1965Nearby, break down and take a look1955frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1953-1955Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1960-1965Nearby, break down and take a look1970frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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