Guide to Gold Economist: Today's Gold Trend Analysis, Market Expectations Turning Eagle, Gold Following...

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　隔夜美联储多位官员讲话，再次拉高了市场对于美国加息的预期，大鹰派圣路易斯联储主席布拉德表示紧缩周期可能接近尾声，但他认为政策利率需要在此基础上再上升半个百分点，达到5.50%To5.75％之间，并维持更长时间。亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克则表示，预计还会再加息一次。


　　另外，今天公布的欧元区通胀数据，3monthCPIAnnual rate final value6.9%, Previous value6.90%。CPIMonthly rate0.9%, Previous value0.90%。可以看到，还是非常顽强的，这也预示着欧元区不太可能减缓加息的步伐，甚至可能加码。


　　欧元区的通胀抬头并非偶然，加拿大央行行长麦克勒姆昨天也表示，不能排除再次加息以抑制通胀。


　　种种信号都表明，全球的流动性收紧并未结束，甚至新一轮的加速要开始了。


Today's Gold Data:


　　14:00britain3monthCPIMonthly rate


　　14:00britain3Monthly Retail Price Index Monthly Rate


　　16:00eurozone2Monthly adjusted current account


　　17:00eurozone3monthCPIAnnual rate final value and monthly rate


The next day02:00Federal Reserve Announces Economic Situation Brown Book


The next day05:30Federal Reserve Gullsby delivers a speech


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金日内短暂回弹测压2008The first line once again showed weak and volatile performance, and the market suddenly accelerated its decline in the afternoon, falling below20Daily line1990There will be a certain delay in rebound later, but the upper confirmation1995After the pressure, gold bears in the European session once again exerted their power to decline, and the decline was significantly amplified. By the end of the evening session, the low point had fallen to the expected trend line support1970附近，且有刺破动作。


　　从日内黄金的下跌表现来看，空间上是符合预期，下跌节奏比预期来得要更猛烈一些，导致空头释放下跌动能的主因，可能还是与市场情绪突然转向炒作美联储5The expectation of further interest rate hikes in the month is related, of course, there is also pressure from the early selling of long profit orders.


At present, the overall trend of gold is in line with expectations, and the market has also fallen to the key support of expectations1970附近，但是有刺破，这说明此位可能只是暂缓，未必能带来强势反弹动能，而后期行情走势也还需要消息面的影响，但消息面也会带来情绪化的波动，导致操作难度可能会有所增加。晚间黄金暂时还是保留看弱预期，但鉴于日内行情已经将预期的波段下跌走完，故晚间行情可能会有一定的回弹测压过程，上方着重关注1995-1998压力，只要今晚黄金不重返20日线上，那么下跌趋势就还有延续的可能。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1995-1998Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1970-1973Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　4.19Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1993-1995Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1980-1975Nearby, break down and take a look1970frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1970-1973Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1985-1990Nearby, break down and take a look1995frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)