Song Yiyang:4.18The rebound of gold is only a correction, and the decline has only just begun. Gold is leaving...

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　　【goldMessage Analysis

Analysis of Gold News: Monday（4month17日）美市盘中，美国公布的4月纽约联储制造业指数和4monthNAHB房产市场指数均超出预期，提振了美联储在5月继续加息的预期。数据公布之后，美元指数加速上扬，现货黄金下挫至1980美元，目前交投于1988dollar/盎司附近。纽约联储周一公布的数据显示，纽约州制造业活动在经历了四个月的收缩后，4月份有所扩张，表明该地区制造业持续疲弱的状况可能正在触底反弹。周一，纽约联储表示，4月份制造业调查总体商业状况指数升至10.8, higher than3Of the month-24.6Last year7月以来的最高水平。这一数据大大超出了预期，因为经济学家此前预计该指数将升至-17.7。分析人士表示，最新的经济数据有助于巩固美联储将于下月加息的预期。CME美联储观察工具显示，市场认为加息25The likelihood of exceeding one basis point80%。市场还推迟了今年下半年晚些时候降息的预期。

　　【4.18Analysis of Gold Market

　　黄金技术面，日线结构上，行情是有扩大调整空间的预期的，下方可期待前期低点1980-1960区域回落，甚至不排除再出新低去看1948-1935一带测试的可能性。4小时盘面中，短线行情下跌至2000It is expected that there will be competition on the front line, but the market actually drops to a small low point in the early stage1992附近，也属于合理范畴内的调整，且四小时图级别指标超卖，所以整体走势结构并未被破坏，1992一线还是有可能提供一些反弹动能的，但是上方只要过不去2020-2015附近压力，那么其下跌趋势依然是很明显的。

　　本周初上方关注2020-2023Short pressure test, strong resistance, continue to focus on2026附近，此位之下我们继续看空黄金，如果行情回到2030上方，那么上周五的下跌将可能会失去其看空影响。短期下方则先关注2000关口争夺，1992可能也会有争夺，但主要支撑可锁定到前期低点争夺带1980附近。因此操作上看空不追空，待反弹修正后再空。今日短线操作思路上宋奕洋建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，今日上方压力关注小时线顶底转换位2018-2020关口，下方关注1980Frontline support.

　　黄金参考策略：反弹1992-1995Short on the front line, stop loss2000, Objective1980-1975；

　　【4.18crude oilMarket Analysis

　　昨天原油走了一个震荡下跌的行情走势，昨天原油开盘在82.57美元一线，早上冲高82.68美元一线后横盘震荡，欧美盘出现下跌，目前最低下跌触及到了80.47美元一线，尾盘弱势收尾，最终收盘在80.95美元一线，日线以一根下影线稍长的大阴线收线，而这样的形态收尾后，原油区间震荡明显，今天高空低多都可以，今天原油关注上方阻力在82.10美元附近，反弹依托这路阻力做空，下方再看79.50美元附近即可！关在这里做多反弹的需求即可！具体操作点位以实时布局为准！

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)