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Song Yiyang: 4.12Analysis of today's gold trend, waiting for a rebound in gold volatilityCPIcrude oil...

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  【4.12todaygoldTrend Analysis

  黄金探底回升,日内回落继续先多!

Early Market Follow2002附近强弱分水,黄金延续走强会在2002附近继续上直接走高测试上方2020-2035区域,若调整会在2000下方走弱测试1990附近支撑预计反弹一波若下方破位继续探低1980Area!

  短线回落主多,冲高出高关键阻力可短空,上方短期关注2023区域,进一步2035区域,下方短期先关注1995Further1983!

  短线要素:

  1.Strictly stop profits and losses, and avoid greed!

  2.If there is a question in my heart, Qingcang/Watch the layout!

  3.Participate in high-altitude and low-altitude activities near key positions, worth waiting for, learn to ambush, and stick to your beliefs!

  【4.12黄金操作策略参考】

  1.First time I saw you falling back2002附近任意短多一次,损1996, look at the goal2010-2020-2035

  2.First seen above2022Short space near once, loss2028, look at the goal2015-2002-1995

  3.强势冲高2043附近高空一次,损2048, look at the goal2032-2012!弱势见1976附近低多!

  【4.12crude oilTrend Analysis

Crude oil1小时周期整体于81.50-79.50区间呈箱体震荡,局部于81.50附近录得5根纺锤线呈圆顶形态或可视为三星顶部形态,于阻力位附近录得反转形态,后市可看下行,故今日建议仍以高空为主。因行情整体处于震荡区间,故ma均线指标效用有限,可参考其他指标。1Hourly cycleKDJ交叉向上指向看涨,但目前已处于超买状态之中,后市需关注其超买状态的解除方式;15Minute cycleKDJ交叉向下指向看跌,短线可看下行。1Hourly cycleRSI并未随行情新高而创新高,呈顶背离,后市可看回落!

  波浪结构细分:由之前分析可知,目前行情整体处于Y-3浪下行之中,依据现有行情,我们可将Y-3浪继续细分成5浪结构,现行情处于Y-3-2浪反弹之中。根据波浪理论可知:2浪反弹不会逾越1浪的起点,即Y-3-2理论反弹顶部应在82.60下方,若行情上破该点位,则小浪结构发生改变,届时我们再另做分析。现行情整体震荡于81.50-79.50区间,且整体有构筑平顶之势,后市可看下行,故我们可判定Y-3-2浪或已结束,待行情向下走出震荡区间,后市将迎来Y-3-3浪加速下行。

Suggestions for crude oil operation:

  建议可于81.50附近跟进空单,止损82.40, look at the goal80.00附近,破位持有作为中长空!

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)

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