Guide Metallographer:4.11Today's gold trend analysis shows that gold has fallen from a high position and the top is...

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　上周五是耶稣受难日，而三天后也就是今天，圣经记载耶稣复活，所以今天也是西方传统的复活节，只欧洲多数国家和地区都处于假期休市的状态，不过和上周五不同的是，今天美国正常开盘，所以我们的交易不受太大影响。


　　本周市场关注的焦点无疑是周三的美国三月CPI数据，从市场预期来看对比去年肯定还是跌的，但月率就不好说了，这也会成为本周行情的转折点。


　　本周主要经济数据：


Monday(4month10day): China3月金融数据，美国2月批发销售；


Tuesday(4month11day): China3monthCPI, China3monthPPIEurozone4monthSentix投资者信心指数，欧元区2Monthly retail sales,FOMC永久票委、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯参加一场经济讨论会，韩国央行公布利率决议，


Wednesday(4month12day)：美国至4month7Day and WeekAPIcrude oilstock(10000 barrels), USA3monthCPI，美国当周EIAstock(10000 barrels)；加拿大央行公布利率决议，2023yearFOMC票委、芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比，费城联储主席哈克、明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利发表讲话


Thursday(4month13day)：澳大利亚3月失业率，中国3Monthly trade account(RMB100mn), UK2Three months in a monthGDP，美国至4month8日当周首次申请失业金人数，美国3monthPPI，美联储货币政策会议纪要。


Friday(4month14day): USA3月零售销售，美国3Monthly Import Price Index, United States3月工业产出，美国4月一年期通胀率预期，美国2月商业库存，美国4月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值。


Technical analysis of gold:


　　上周五是耶稣受难日，黄金市场休市，周一金价补跌。不过，周一欧洲多数国家因为复活节假期休市，市场交投仍受到限制。上周五大家都憋了一口气，但市场的表现来说，基本没啥大的变化，早间低开反抽，二次回撤，小幅破早间低点，日线再一次破高后回落，回调的连续性不够，同时也没有出现加速，因此这就代表顶还没有出现，同时，从上升的时间周期来说，现在的时间周期还偏短，这就意味着上升的空间还有。虽然非农全天停盘休市，但是还是动摇不了空军回落的决心。今日早间跳空低开，一度跌破2000大关下行，日线高位黄昏星明确，布林带上轨开始缩口，有短期见顶信号，但是真正下跌可能还需要时间，毕竟多头强势格局。


　　4小时周期局部录得一根大阳后再录得一根大阴，多空不定，但行情整体处于中轨之下，后市需关注中轨的阻力情况。目前1小时走势呈震荡下行，从均线系统上来看，金价第一道压力在2006美元，第二道压力在2010美元。支撑在1988USD,1988美元也是此前三角形上边压力所形成的反支撑位置。而1988一但有效跌破，则“黄昏十字星”组合就可以得到确认。不破1988一线建议谨慎追空。1Hour cycle and15Minute cycleKDJ交叉向上指向看涨，短线可看反弹，但目前15Minute cycleKDJ已处于超卖状态，欧盘需关注其超买状态的解除方式（收阴缓解or震荡缓解）。1Hourly cycleRSI并未随行情新低而创新低，呈底背离，短线可看反弹！综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注2013-2015Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1988-1990Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　4.10Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds2013-2015Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target2005-1995Nearby, break down and take a look1990frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1988-1990Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target2000-2010Nearby, break down and take a look2015frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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