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Song Yiyang: 4.10Gold has room for a downward trend in the short term as it rises and falls. Today, gold is moving forward...

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  【4.10goldMarket Analysis

  现货黄金上周四(4month6日)亚市盘中开盘自日内高位2021.41dollar/Ounces dropped to2007.80dollar/盎司后上涨;欧美盘中,黄金再次收复日内高位附近,但并未有效破日高,再次展开下行,盘中跌至日内低位2000.75dollar/盎司,截止收盘,黄金自日内低位小幅回升后再次下挫,收于2008.80dollar/ounce.

  【4.10Analysis of Gold Market Trend

  从整体形态来看,黄金连续高位盘整,上周加速冲高2032之后连续震荡回落。上升形态中,加速冲高一步见顶可能性比较大,而四小时和日线技术指标背离信号比较明显,同时前面从1730Up to1960,这一波从1804Up to2032,两波上升幅度都是230个点幅度左右,这一轮上升幅度基本到位。而短期形态高位连续震荡回落,截止早盘最低跌至1989附近,吞没了上周大阳80%的涨幅,虽然短期回落过程中触及2009and2000支撑都出现反弹,但均未能支撑企稳形成二次走强,短期多头表现乏力,这是短期释放转势的关键。

  短期操作方面、早间开盘震荡下跌直接跌破2000,小时线形成连阴,短期形成极弱。但是需要注意,上周一早盘开盘连续走弱,午后触及1950企稳形成反转,所以今天欧盘能否延续走弱也非常关键。早间极弱,日内走弱的条件欧盘反抽幅度一定不能太大,反抽幅度大也非常容易形成反转,所以早盘反抽次高点2000.5就是日内关键分水岭,但是目前力度不一定能给到,所以1995-96压制空,止损放分水岭上方。一定要欧盘连续破低,美盘才能延续看弱势。同时下方只有跌破1977-78支撑,企稳才能确立转折。

Gold Operation Strategy: Rebound1995-96Void2001, Objective1985-86。

  【4.10crude oilMarket Analysis

  美原油上周四(4month6日)亚市盘中开盘下行,并在欧盘延续跌势,触及日内低位79.619dollar/桶后展开回升;美市盘中,原油扩大涨幅,刷新日内高位80.94dollar/桶,但仅触及日内高位后再次回落持于横盘,截止收盘,收于80.451dollar/Bucket.

  原油技术面来分析,日线上,上周四原油自本周开盘周初走高后就没有太强的上涨,继续持于高位横盘,录得带上下影线的小阳,日线上,还是那句话在没有有效回补缺口后不保持过分看涨;4小时上,上周四原油继续持于横盘,盘中触低后回升,并在触高后回落,当前布林带处于平口期,MAMoving forward from the moving average to the third line,KDJRandom indicators with three lines up,MACD指标绿色动能柱放量,快慢线死叉向下,综合来看,目前原油没有太强涨势,日内建议反弹81.0-81.5Nearby resistance shorting.

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)

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