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After a sharp drop in the closing price of gold against the US dollar on Thursday, the opening price of gold fell to2007.82附近,不过在美国疲软经济数据引发市场对经济放缓的担忧之际,周线势将上涨。
在利空数据方面,周三欧洲央行首席经济学家 连恩 表示,欧洲的食品通胀仍在加剧,这可能是目前物价增长的关键驱动因素。由于能源成本回落,3月欧元区整体通胀大幅放缓,但核心物价增长继续加速,这让市场担忧物价急升的趋势正变得根深蒂固。对此,连恩预计经济的供应侧将在未来几年复苏,欧洲央行今年将就服务业通胀展开激烈辩论。美联储官员和欧洲央行官员的讲话都意味着这两家央行仍倾向于进一步加息,这会增加持有黄金的机会成本,短线略微利空金价。此外,美国三大股市全数收涨,包含标普指数收盘上涨0.35%The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher0.01%And the Nasdaq Index closed higher0.76%。
In terms of Lido data,Kitco MetalsSenior AnalystJim Wyckoff表示,经济数据不佳,使市场上出现了一些避险情绪,这对避险黄金有利。市场现在认为美国5月暂停加息的可能性为60%,这使非孳息黄金的前景和其作为首选通胀对冲工具的地位更加光明。周三克利夫兰联储主席 梅斯特 表示,现在知道美联储是否需要在5月初的下一次政策会议上提高其指标隔夜利率还为时过早,即使她预测利率将需要再上调。
总而言之,金价受欧美央行升息压力及美股全数收涨而震荡,不过美国疲软经济数据引发市场对经济放缓担忧,限制了金价的跌势;日内重点将关注美国非农就业数据。
Press from above(Upper resistance) 2007.80,2009.20; From the downward direction, the lower support2005.60。
CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.
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