Song Yiyang:4.5Today's gold trend analysis shows that gold meets expectations for a sharp rise, with...

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　　【4.5Within the daygoldTrend Analysis

Looking back at the overnight trend, after the release of US data, gold surged and surpassed40The large space in US dollars is very unexpected, firstly because overnight data is not important data; Secondly, before the data, gold had already experienced a pull up movement; Thirdly, compared to the decline of the US dollar, the rise of gold clearly has an emotional amplification effect. Since the sudden announcement of OPEC's production reduction this week, the potential crisis in the US banking industry has not disappeared, and the market is speculating about the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cut this year. These news and emotions all indicate market concerns about the future economy of the US. Whether the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates or not, the US economy is very worried, and "de dollarization" may become a trend in the future market, which also leads to an increase in the market's preference for gold. But this emotional buying behavior has more disadvantages than advantages in terms of operation, as emotions cannot be quantitatively analyzed, nor can they determine how much impact and duration this buying sentiment will bring.

Although Federal Reserve officials have reiterated their intention to further raise interest rates, there are signs of cooling in employment data. Market expectations for further Fed rate hikes have cooled, and expectations for a rate cut within the year have significantly increased, dragging down the performance of US dollar and US bond yields. In addition, the Eurozone Producer Price Index has continued to decline for the fifth consecutive month, reducing the pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates. The Bank of England may also lower interest rates earlier than market expectations, These all provide upward momentum for gold prices. Gold prices are breaking through2000After the checkpoint, the bullish signal on the technical side has also significantly strengthened, and it is expected to continue the upward trend in the future, even breaking historical highs2075Nearby resistance. From a structural perspective, the break of gold this time is closely related to market environmental factors, which has changed the short-term structural direction. In the early stage, the continuous upward trend did not break through the level, and after this decline, it was the third consecutive retreat in recent times. Therefore, the possibility of breaking through the level is high, and after Monday's decline, it directly went out in the eveningVThe low level reversal pattern has laid a certain foundation for short-term bulls, and the market news stimulus has once again stimulated the rise of gold hedging, thus continuing the upward trend.

After consecutive high and sideways trading on the daily line, gold has pulled out of its previous high and volatile range, maintaining a strong and volatile trend in the daily trend. Stay tuned for the short term2000The support of the area.4The narrow range fluctuation in the hourly trend, where prices remain at a high level after a significant upward trend, may have some adjustment and repair in the short term. The hourly level short cycle moving average is currently flatKThe line gradually breaks through the short period moving average, pay attention to the adjustment of the short line. The following trend structure is very clear, and the increase has already broken the limit. The strong market is still the main theme, so paying attention to the strength of the high level retreat determines the opportunity to participate in the future market layout. However, the high level is not easy to blindly catch up, to prevent catching up, and to pay attention to the points2009/15The frontline support situation, as well as the opportunity to step back and follow in the short term, will be prepared for the band bearish plan when there is a turning point opportunity above the market in the future. In terms of today's gold operation strategy, Song Yiyang suggests that bullish bullish stocks should be the main focus, and the following should be followed2010Support for;

Today's operation ideas:2020More direct, more broken2013Loss2033/2046, hold against the limit;

　　【4.5Within the daycrude oilTrend Analysis

US crude oil Tuesday（4month3In the Asian and European markets, there was a slight increase and a slow upward trend, with mixed ups and downs; In the US market, crude oil expanded its gains and hit a new intraday high81.76dollar/Barrel, but only touched the intraday high and immediately fell back, causing a loss during the session80.0Level, setting a new low for the day79.596dollar/Barrel, as of closing, crude oil has rebounded from its intraday low and closed at80.99dollar/Bucket.

From the perspective of crude oil technology, on the daily line, crude oil remained at a high level for the next day, but rebounded after falling to a low level in the session. A small positive with up and down shadow lines was recorded. On the daily line, the market continued to remain at a high level and sideways, and remained bearish in the short term;4On an hourly basis, the next day crude oil continued to remain at a high level, with mixed gains and losses during the trading session. Currently, the Bollinger Belt is in an opening period,MAThe moving average has crossed its dead end,KDJThree lines forward for random indicators,MACDThe green kinetic energy column of the indicator is increasing, and the fast and slow lines have a dead fork downward. Overall, the current crude oil gap has not been replenished, and it has not broken the monthly resistance. It is not overly bullish, and it is recommended to rebound within the day81.5-82.0Nearby resistance shorting.

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)