Yu Yue on Jin:3.30The gold market still fluctuates, how to operate the exclusive market trend today...

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　goldLatest market trend analysis:

Thursday（3month30During the Asian session, spot gold slightly weakened and is currently trading in1958.63dollar/盎司附近，尽管对银行业的担忧仍未完全散去，仍有避险买盘支撑金价，但周三美元和美股上涨，金价开始受到压制。日线级别，5日均线初步下穿10日均线结成死叉，暗示金价短线下行风险较大。策略师称，“股市出现冒险情绪，股票正在上涨，没有任何我们不知道的关于银行动荡的真正的新消息。在下一次美联储会议前，我们将在2,000dollar(每盎司)水平附近徘徊......美联储是贵金属市场的驱动力”。分析师在一份报告中表示：“随着风险偏好重新回来，市场正在慢慢将注意力从美国和欧洲银行业的麻烦上移开。不过，资深的市场观察家认为，现在就在这件事上宣布‘警报解除’还为时过早。”基本面方面，本周前几个交易日经济数据较少，本交易日将迎来美国初请失业金人数变动，周五将迎来美国PCE数据，市场预计美国就业市场仍非常强劲，通胀压力依然较大，在银行业危机缓解之际，市场目光可能会再度聚焦美联储的加息前景。

　　需要提醒的是，全球最大的黄金ETF——SPDR的持仓周三增加了1.74Tons, to929.47Tons, for2021year10month21日以来新高，暗示机构和中长线投资者仍然增加黄金资产的配置，这在中长线利多金价走势。整体来看，虽然仍有避险买盘支撑金价，但是短线美元的企稳反弹、股市上涨、美债收益率相对强势，都对金价不利，市场对黄金的避险买需较上周已经显著下降，对美联储和其他央行进一步加息的预期有所回升，这令金价短线面临进一步下行风险，下方继续关注上周低点1934.174附近支撑，如果下破该支撑，则增加后市看空信号。在失守该位置前，金价中线仍留有震荡走高的机会。本交易日多位美联储官员将发表讲话，投资者需要重点关注。

　　黄金周三日线小阴线收盘，震荡修正中稍有回落，日线暂时维持在高位区间震荡，短期依旧等待区间1935-2003之间的突破，美元启稳反弹，黄金稍有承压。昨日反弹至1971一线承压回落收盘在低位。短线可能再去测试颈线支撑。从短线收盘结构来看，亚盘相对弱一些，当然日线暂时还是高位震荡，而没有走出明显的单边。 4小时图进入三角区间收缩震荡，短期维持在区间内来回拉锯，颈线支撑1935.Upper rail2003.是短期多空分界点，突破才能看出方向延续，不破继续看区间内震荡，布林道开始进一步收缩，区间压缩越来越小。昨日10美元的横向整理，波动基数开始收小，回归正常的水平性震荡。亚盘先在昨日高点之下择机短空一次，欧美盘再结合形态灵活安排。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上建议回调低多为主，上方短期重点关注1968-1973Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1945-1950Frontline support.



　　crude oilLatest market trend analysis:

　　3month30At the beginning of the Asian market on Thursday, American Oil Trading Co., Ltd72.96dollar/桶附近；油价周三在震荡交投中下滑，尽管库存骤降，但因投资者希望将连续两天上涨的获利收入囊中，且美联储监管局就银行业危机称多方都难辞其咎，担忧情绪增加，限制油价涨幅。美国能源信息署(EIA)周三表示，上周美国原油库存意外下降，因为炼油厂在维修后重新开工，而且进口量降至两年来的最低点。EIA表示，俄克拉荷马州库欣的美国原油futures交割中心上周的库存减少了160万桶。分析师说：“炼油活动增加，进口减少，出口持续强劲，这些因素导致原油库存大量减少。”总体来看，尽管因美联储监管局就银行业危机称多方都难辞其咎，令市场担忧情绪有所增加，但美国原油库存骤降，俄产量下降，加之地缘紧张持续，油价维持震荡上行观点，短线或多次试探75dollar/桶关口；市场不确定性风险增加，交易需谨慎！

　　原油昨日探高回落，日线收盘小阴K线，惯性延续一波探高至74.30附近承压，短线持续性不经中，触及到了0.618的强阻力位置首次受压。最终收回73.0.整体空间走得不算大。日线进入阴阳转换当中，遇到阻力也略有压制，并不是强单边。只是反弹修正。日线进入区间中性值重新选择，上有阻力，下有支撑的阶段。4小时图经过二浪反弹之后触及到了首个强阻力，昨日探高回落，显示短线略有受阻，今日若不强势突破74.30的阻力，短线可能转换回落。目前接近中轨，亚盘关注此位支撑，目前暂时还处于反弹结构当中，若是下轨中轨则会提前结束反弹。4小时进入多空分化阶段，多空互有变化。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上建议回调低多为主，上方短期关注73.8-74.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below70.8-71.3Frontline support


Yu Yue's Discussion on Gold - To my friends who invest, let me express my sincere words:

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      This article is exclusively planned by gold analyst Yu Yuelun Jin. Thank you for your love and support for this article. I hope everyone can gain some insights and insights from this article! Regardless of whether the viewpoint and strategy of the article are consistent with everyone's opinions, everyone can come to me to discuss and learn together! Nothing is difficult if you put your heart into it. Please be vigilant for the same article content and fields that appear after this time period! Investment itself carries risks, reminding everyone to recognize the authoritative platform. Strength teachers, capital safety first, then consider operational risk, and finally how to make profits!