Yu Yue on Jin:3.21黄金晚间行情怎么操作！黄金最新解套操作...

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　goldLatest market trend analysis:



Tuesday(3month21day)欧市盘中，现货黄金维持日内跌势，金价目前位于1967dollar/盎司附近，日内重挫超10美元。分析师指出，有关美国银行业的一则重量级消息刺激风险偏好情绪升温，这削弱了黄金的避险魅力。周二早些时候，黄金价格在远低于2000dollar/盎司的水平徘徊。美国银行业传出一些令人鼓舞的消息，投资者心情愉快，同时等待美联储周三公布关键的政策结果。分析师称，受上述消息影响，周二市场风险偏好情绪升温，黄金价格因此承受下行压力。与此同时，市场对美联储在银行业危机面前可能不会在本周三加息的预期加剧，可能会增强市场的乐观情绪。

　　据美国彭博社周二报道，美国政府官员正在研究如何暂时将联邦存款保险公司(FDIC)的保险范围扩大到所有存款，这是多家银行联合提出的要求，他们认为这是防止潜在金融危机所必需的。据知情人士透露，美国财政部工作人员正在评估联邦监管机构是否有足够的紧急授权，可以在没有得到分歧严重的国会正式同意的情况下，临时为多数账户的存款提供超过目前25万美元上限的保险。根据芝加哥商业交易所集团(CME Group)的“美联储观察工具”，目前市场押注美联储本月暂停加息的几率为30%。与此同时，对美联储在今年年底前小幅降息的押注也有所增加，这对美元的复苏构成威胁。随着美联储为期两天的会议将于周二开始，市场也不愿对黄金价格进行任何方向性押注，等待周三的关键政策决定。与此同时，投资者对全球银行业的发展和美国成屋销售数据保持警惕。


Technical analysis of gold:

     日线图方面，昨天收录了一根上下影线较长，实体较小的阴k线，由于处的位置比较高，所以这是一个典型的高位螺旋桨形态，翻转意味浓厚，但是只是一个初步的反转线，如果想要确认其翻转意义，未来的两个交易日，需要金价快速的下跌，收录大的实体阴线，这样翻转意义才能进一步加大，由于指标上还没有这种迹象，所以，我们暂时把这根k线看做滞涨k线，也就是说，短期内，金价很难再出现过大的上涨，在2000附近承压的可能较大，接下来观察的便是承压力度。

　　日线的初步支撑在1958，这里是上周五实体突破的高点，如果回调力度较小，预计将会维持在此位置上方进行震荡，第二个支撑在1913Here is1806上涨是受阻的位置，也是上周突破的关键压制，突破这是，这便从阻力转变为了支撑，也是1806这段上涨的顶底转换位，回落较强的情况下，预计的回落位置就在1920附近，需要注意的是，一旦跌破1913，那么金价在日线反转的意义便会进一步加强，目前还看不出来能否下破此，4小时回调一旦开始，到达1940-1920附近的可能性较大，但是能否进一步下行，还需要后市的行情进行观察。

　　接下来我们需要注意的是，1hourMACD快慢线下零轴的可能，只有1小时的快慢线下零轴，顶背离才能完全得以修正，不然即便在零轴附近重新金叉上行，还会出现持续的背离，甚至带动4小时出现极端的背离。意外情况则是，头肩顶形态并未形成，金价昨天在1970受支撑后，继续上行，突破左肩1990的高点，一旦突破此，头肩顶便以失败告终，届时需要注意1小时再次背离，并且带动4小时极端背离的可能，这个时候越靠近前高附近越是好的空单机会。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1980-1986Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1956-1950Frontline support.


crude oilTechnical analysis:

    昨日油价技术面整体先抑后扬，价格在亚欧盘持续走跌至65关口下方创出阶段低点64.1一线，午后欧盘企稳64.5关口附近探底回升震荡上行走高，最终在美盘强势拉升至早间开跌口67关口上方延续反弹，最终日k线报收探底回升震荡中阳，整体价格向下刺破64关口后企稳回升，且收盘站稳早间开跌口67上方短线还有进一步反弹回升预期，今日下方支撑关注66-65.5区域，日内回撤依托此位置支撑继续先多看反弹，上方压力关注前期4Hourly opening and closing69.5一线压制，今日回踩先多继续看反弹回升，上方等待冲高出现明显压制形态后再入场做空，近期技术面多空强弱分界线关注70关口，日线级别一旦突破并站稳此位置上方有望迎来日线级别反弹回升。综合来看，今日原油操作思路上建议以反弹做空为主，回踩低多为辅，上方短期关注69.0-69.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below65.8-65.3Frontline support.


Yu Yue's Discussion on Gold - To my friends who invest, let me express my sincere words:

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