Yu Yue on Jin:3.20Gold Treasuring Continues Long, Operation Guide for Evening Trend Analysis...

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　　goldquotation:

Monday,3month20On the day, spot gold bottomed out and rebounded, having previously fallen to1968Near the US dollar, due to the technical adjustment demand, and the coordinated action taken by the Federal Reserve with the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Swiss Central Bank over the weekend to enhance market liquidity, UBS agreed to purchase Credit Suisse, which once made the risk aversion cool down and led to a correction of gold, but this optimism soon faded, and the bargain hunting in the day helped the gold price quickly reverse its decline, The market still needs to pay attention to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision to be released this week, and the market is expected to only raise interest rates25A basis point, difficult to hawkish in terms of wording, may pave the way for the next meeting to pause rate hikes, and the market expects the Federal Reserve to7Lowering interest rates before January is also expected to provide an opportunity for gold prices to further rise.

Direction: As gold prices rose over the past week5%Setting its best weekly performance in three years, gold prices may have room to rise this week, and the bullish sentiment of retail investors is soaring in the market as they hope to protect themselves from2008Due to the impact of the biggest banking crisis since, risk aversion is still spreading in the market. It is difficult for gold to reverse its direction in a short time. Gold prices have the opportunity to hit a record high this year, but the market seems to have overbought. Waiting for the market sentiment to subside, what we are expecting is a major correction.

From the daily trend, it can be seen that gold is already in a severely overbought state technically, but the actual trend does not meet the needs of the technical trend. Currently, the sentiment is basically out of control, and the effectiveness of technical analysis is greatly reduced. Gold is gradually lifting its structural center of gravity, and the market is speculating about the banking crisis in Europe and America. The risk aversion sentiment has once again heated up, and it has crossed the line2000After the checkpoint, the trading environment in the market has become very complex, but the risk aversion sentiment will not subside, and the gold price will not come down. The next step is to continue to be bullish, and the support below will be based on the opening price1978Nearby, there is also a front low support1960Falling back means having more opportunities. Defend lower down3Points, with upward pressure facing separately2010and2030Nearby, the specific operation is based on the real-time information provided in the internal disk of the group.



　　crude oilquotation:

Monday,3month20The crude oil rose first and then fell on July 1. Although UBS Group reached an agreement to acquire Credit Suisse over the weekend, and the Federal Reserve and other six central banks jointly acted to enhance liquidity to calm and stabilize the global financial market, the crude oil rebounded more than1%to67.7The US dollar is around the corner, but concerns quickly returned and there are still unresolved banking issues in the US. The market is concerned that the banking crisis will develop into a global financial tsunami, which will drag down demand for crude oil. US crude oil quickly recouped its gains and continued last week's decline, currently falling more than2.5%, lowest touch64.3USD, for2021year11month28Recently, it has reached a new low.

Concerns about the banking crisis in Europe and America have intensified market concerns about economic recession, which has also put some pressure on crude oil. Last week, it continued to decline and retrace, breaking the previous low point70Nearby support, falling to65frontline. In terms of daily structure, after a long period of digestion of crude oil fluctuations, we chose to break through the fluctuation range due to the influence of external fundamentals. Currently, the daily moving average is crossing downwards, and although the market is severely oversold, based on the rhythm of the second half of last week, it is still difficult to have strong momentum to counterattack and rise. In the morning, we67.8The bearish strategy of rebounding below is also correct. With a perfect grasp of the bearish market, the crude oil rebound can continue to be bearish and rebound66.3-5Nearby entry, defense67upper


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