Song Yiyang:3.14静待美盘CPI强势来袭，晚间黄金走势分析

【goldMarket Trend Analysis

Monday(3month13day)美市盘中，现货黄金维持日内大涨态势，金价交投于1912.74dollar/盎司附近，据美国消费者新闻与商业频道（CNBC）等多家美媒最新消息，美国监管机构当地时间12日以“系统性风险”为由，宣布关闭美国硅谷银行。CNBC称，有分析师表示：由于对金融不稳定的担忧，黄金出现了避险流动。创业公司和债务再融资是交易员正在分析的最大金融风险之一。这对黄金来说是一个戏剧性的转变。上周早些时候，由于市场预期美联储将在3Raising interest rates at monthly meetings50个基点，金价稳步下跌。但是，黄金现在正在反弹，对如下几个驱动因素做出反应：硅谷银行事件和金融稳定风险，美国2月份更高的失业率，以及美联储50个基点加息预期的逆转。黄金再次成为大家最喜欢的交易对象，而且这种情况可能会持续下去，因为华尔街流动性风险问题不会很快得到回应。美元大幅下跌，这在短期内推动金价走高。目前美联储关注的仍是通胀，而通胀并未真正减速；今日的美国CPI数据将显示通胀仍顽强地高企。不过，鉴于美国金融系统发生的情况，加息25个基点的可能性比加息50个基点更大。综合以上消息可以看到，随着美国银行业爆发危机，美联储加息预期降温，高盛甚至预期美联储3月份不会加息，这将限制美元涨幅，提振黄金，投资者需对此保持关注。

Gold Technology Analysis

Daily level from1809Support rebound, currentlyKThe overall trend of the line also presents a four consecutive positive pattern. Faced with such a trend pattern, today's operational approach undoubtedly needs to lean towards bulls; Observing from the moving average, the overall trend of the three lines is adhesive and diverging upwards, while the overall gold price is operating at5Daily moving average1866The upper position shows a very strong trajectory. From the observation of the Bollinger belt, the third line shows an open horn shape. Yesterday's strong pull also broke the position of the Bollinger belt on the track1895Nearby, the overall gold price is currently consolidating at the upper track of the Bollinger Belt. From the perspective of technical indicators,MACDandKDJThe overall shape is all turning upwards, so from a daily perspective, the overall operating strategy of gold prices tends to be bullish;

　　4At the hourly level, the third line of the Bollinger Belt is turning upwards as a whole, and the price continues to rebound based on the position of the Bollinger Belt on the track. The overall strength is very strong, and currently the gold price is operating on the Bollinger Belt on the track as a whole1926At the bottom, the three lines of the moving average bond upwards and diverge, and the overall gold price is based on5Rihe10The daily moving average continues to rebound, and currently the overall gold price is operating at5Daily moving average1905Upper position, secondary image indicatorMACDThe overall operation is above the zero axis, with double lines diverging upwards, so the overall trend is bullish,KDJThere is a sign of turning down on the third line, so there is a need to step back on the short-term level; Do not pursue high orders, there will be tonightCPIData, Beware of High Gold Flash Collapse.

Combining1--4Hour level, short-term trend from1860After breaking through on the first line, there was an explosive bull rally, and prices continued to fluctuate after a high opening yesterday1870After the above range, the increase will be further expanded. As of now, the European market is still maintaining a high level of consolidation, and it is still possible to test new highs within the day. Day traders may patiently wait for the market to decline before considering multiple orders to avoid chasing gains and killing losses. Short term pressure is temporarily focused on the day's high point1914Nearby. It should be noted that the short-term upward trend of gold is relatively fast under the influence of risk events, and the continuation of this upward trend may not be particularly good. In addition, the current price is not too far from the previous pressure band, so it is recommended to refer to gold operations in terms of intraday operation ideas1910-14Nearby short order opportunities, do not chase up or sell, pay attention to the recent below1860附近潜在测试风险。实时行情盘中指导。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上宋奕洋建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1910-1914Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1888-1890Frontline support

　　【crude oilMarket Trend Analysis

　　原油上个交易日美盘走出一波V型反转在日线走势上继续维持在宽幅的区间震荡中，小时级别走势上经过短暂的横盘震荡之后技术形态有开始逐步修复完成的迹象，短线走势上可能会有一定的反弹空间。4小时级别走势上目前没有明显的趋势在短期走势上大概率会走个震荡修复。

Operation suggestions:75.8-9Near empty, stop loss76.6, Objective74-73.

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)