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Guide Metallographer:3.10今日黄金走势分析,非农携手周线收官

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  goldMessage interpretation:


  周四公布的美国初请失业金人数,创造近5个月以来最大增幅,裁员数据创造2009年以来的新高,而美联储主席鲍威尔在周三表示,3月份的加息将取决于之后公布的数据,这导致市场对美联储3Monthly interest rate increase50个基点的预期降温,加息概率从80%Descend to64%,美债收益率大幅回落,美元高位下跌,美股道琼斯指数大跌,创造四个月新低,这为黄金的上涨创造了机会。


  目前市场焦点,开始转向今晚的非农数据,这将对美联储之后的货币政策产生较大影响,市场预期新增就业人数20.5万人,远不及一月份的51.7万人,这给金价带来一些支撑,不过一旦数据表现意外强劲,则可能像一月份那样重挫黄金,因此投资者仍需保持警惕,最好等待数据公布后,再选择后市方向。


  目前市场等待晚间非农数据,数据公布前,由于对二月数据的预期远不及前值,可能对金价带来一些支撑,但预计涨幅有限,而最终的数据结果,可能造成黄金短线剧烈波动,参考一月份强劲的非农数据,造成黄金大跌,本次数据公布,也需要警惕发生意外的可能性。


Today's Gold Data:


  15:00Germany2monthCPIMonthly rate final value


  15:00britain1Three months in a monthGDPMonthly rate


  15:00britain1Commodity Trade Account after Monthly Adjustment


  15:00britain1Monthly manufacturing output rate


  15:00britain1Monthly industrial output rate


  15:45France1Monthly trade account


  21:30Canada2Monthly Employment Number


  21:30U.S.A2Monthly unemployment rate


  21:30U.S.A2Non agricultural employment population after rose adjustment


  23:00德国总理朔尔茨会见欧洲央行行长拉加德


Technical analysis of gold:


  黄金周四整体走势偏强,早盘守住低点1810一线启稳,反弹最高触及1835附近,收复了前一日高点1823.打破弱势格局,回归区间震荡,多空转换频繁,由临界点来决定强弱延续,昨日破位1823后反手做多看至1833.短线结构也是由形态而定。尾盘收在高位。日线收成中阳线,今日周线收官之作,加之非农数据登场,目前技术结构已经进入震荡。


Gold4小时级别,在周二晚间的下跌之后,黄金开始低位震荡运行,昨天晚上黄金的低位震荡运行从1小时级别延伸到了4小时级别,那目前的重点是延伸到4小时的震荡会怎么走?4小时的震荡取决于快慢线的表现,如果快慢线直接上0轴的话,那么4小时的震荡区间则会很大,可参考4小时图上的上行通胀,如果快慢线在0轴下方再次死叉的话,黄金则有给新低的可能,我也就有了更好的接多位置。周五本周最后一个交易日,震荡上行的同时不难看出短期的上行力度较小,伴随阴线回落,空头依旧牵制,所以日内不过分的看涨反弹延续,防范的二次回落走低。


  黄金本周的暴跌未能延续,连续两个交易日低位震荡之后拉高,而昨天更是大幅拉升至最高1835一线,已经改变了弱势格局,从技术走势来看,没有跌破新低,而是空头止步1809后再度拉高,黄金破新低延续空头的预期就不存在了,从技术形态来看,昨天的拉升,已经止跌,而且,黄金很可能继续转涨,加之美国就业数据表现疲软,对黄金的多头预期有一定提振。不排除黄金依托1809为低点再次大涨,维持周线级别的大区间震荡局面,说白了,还是个震荡。若今晚非农利好黄金收高,从周线级别来看,下周将延续涨势。上方多头目标还是看至1850—1860区域。综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方短期重点关注1845-1850Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1828-1830Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


  3.10Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1845-1848Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1835-1830Nearby, break down and take a look1825frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1823-1825Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1840-1845Nearby, break down and take a look1850frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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