Guide Metallographer:3.8Today's gold trend analysis shows that the gold trend breaks down at any time...

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　美联储主席鲍威尔在参议院银行委员会发表证词时明确鹰派发声地表示，联储的加息幅度可能超过此前预期，并警告说，让通胀率回到2%的过程还有“很长的路要走”。美联储主席鲍威尔周二对美国立法者表示，最新的经济数据强于预期，要使通胀回到2%，就需要降低核心服务的通胀水平，目前这项数据并没有像我们希望的那样快速回落，美联储还有很长的路要走。当下劳动力市场表现极度紧张，如果有必要，美联储准备加快加息步伐。鲍威尔的发言强烈暗示，美联储决策者将在即将举行的3month21-22日会议上对提高终端利率的预测，这促使债券市场快速重新定价。联邦基金利率futures交易员目前认为，美联储在3month21-22日的会议上加息50个基点的概率上升约为60%。周二早些时候，这一概率被认为在22%左右。美联储官员在12月曾预测，今年的利率将提高到5.00%and5.25%之间。而交易员们现在的定价是，9月份的利率将达到5.64%的峰值。美元利率峰值预期的进一步提升，看来在一定时期内还要继续提振美元走升。本周接下来还有美国的非农数据要公布，若显示劳动力市场依然呈火爆的增长趋势，将进一步坐实美联储3月鹰派加息的趋向。作为无息资产的黄金，可以想象得出其遭受的压力还是比较大的。


Today's Gold Data:


　　15:00Germany1Monthly industrial output rate after quarterly adjustment


　　18:00Eurozone Q4GDPAnnual rate final value


　　18:00Quarterly employment rate in the Eurozone after quarterly adjustment in the fourth quarter


　　18:00欧洲央行行长拉加德参加活动


　　21:15U.S.A2monthADPEmployment numbers


　　21:30U.S.A1Monthly trade account


　　23:00Bank of Canada Announces Interest Rate Resolution


　　23:00Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivers monetary policy testimony


The next day03:00Federal Reserve Announces Economic Situation Brown Book


Technical analysis of gold:


Gold Yesterday1850受阻回落，日线收取大阴线，预计行情今日还延续。现在的关注点在于前低1804是否能够支撑住，如果下破，我们需要继续关注1797-1787一线的支撑情况。如果1787不破，黄金有可能会出现一波反弹，但是如果有效下破，下方空间可能还有20-30美金左右。目前，黄金的上方阻力在1828附近，小周期阻力在1823附近，如果价格没有突破这一区域，我们可以考虑空单。行情如果走弱，也不排除1818先跌一波，不过不建议这么激进做空。


　　4小时级别走势上连续大幅下跌之后目前的背离稍微有些偏大，价格也基本触及到前期的支撑带附近，小周期走势上在连续的慢跌震荡之后技术形态有开始逐步开始修复的迹象，在短线走势上会有一定的反弹修复出现，但是力度还有待考量。总的来说，短期下挫之后下方依旧具备跌幅空间，关注跌幅的延续情况，其次参与参考反抽机会跟空，下方支撑前期低点参考1804Frontline, daily attention1818附近机会可空，若欧盘不见反抽可临盘跟空继续看回落！上方关注1820Resistance, pay attention below1800的支撑情况，综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1820-1823Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1804-1800Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　3.8Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1820-1823Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1810-1805Nearby, break down and take a look1800frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1800-1803Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1810-1815Nearby, break down and take a look1820frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Free benefits within the technical guidance group:The market is constantly changing every day,We have a strong analysis team, and every order we make is carefully considered and judged,To ensure that every order can be profitable and eliminated!Two to three orders per day do not require overnight prosperity,Just ask for the safety of falling into the bag!Profit is very high,I scored nine points alone,One point depends on luck,Eight points rely on strength!One or two days is luck,What about that week?Two weeks?Whether it is within the circle or in a group strategy,Or major financial websites,Team teachers are all current price lists!Daily analysis team technical guidance group, real-time announcement of daily market trends and push notifications,Real time current price list: Each entry is reasonable, evidence-based, publicly available, and can be accessed for free for group experience and inspection!


　　(Add Guide Gold Master（WX:zns83721 QQ:3096653915）After,Free application for direct group experience. Daily current price3-5single)I solemnly promise to add my friend to the guide's gold teacher,Just let me shout if you want me to,I can also tell you the correct single making techniques and mentality,Various solutions for lock orders. This is the key to turning your losses into profits!


Free benefits within the technical guidance group:


① Daily updates:Market trends and intraday reminders,Opportunities for warehouse building.


② Featured columns:Private Q&A,solution τ,Analyze the trend of the day.


③ Welfare delivery:Golden Short Line Opportunity Layout,Continuous tracking(Band opening)。


④ New fan benefits:Trading tactics《KThe King of Online Trading,Teach you how to do a good job in the short term