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Guide Metallographer:3.8Analysis of today's gold trend and how to arrange Powell's speech

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  goldMessage interpretation:


In terms of news, European Central Bank officials delivered a hawkish speech on Monday, believing that interest rates should be raised every time in the next four meetings50A basis point, which is much higher than market expectations, has led to a rise in short-term bond yields in the eurozone and driven the US Treasury yield to bottom out and rebound, suppressing the decline in gold prices.


At present, the focus of the market is generally on the testimony of Powell Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday, and the release of US non farm data on Friday is also very important. Both of these events may affect the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, causing sharp fluctuations in gold prices. Investors should be prepared in advance.


Today's Gold Data:


  11:30Federal Reserve of Australia Announces Interest Rate Decision


  14:45Switzerland2Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment


  15:00britain2monthHalifaxMonthly rate of housing price index after quarterly adjustment


  16:00China2monthforeign exchangereserve


  23:00U.S.A1Monthly wholesale sales rate


  23:00Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivers monetary policy testimony


Technical analysis of gold:


Yesterday, gold rose and fell as scheduled, indicating significant upward pressure. Friday's gold tail sneaks into the closing bald positive line, basically breaking through1833The region, but the kinetic energy has not continued, indicating that the bullish market is starting to oscillate in the region again, waiting for guidance from non agricultural sectors. The technology is shifting from top to bottom1833Becoming the first support, which means encountering it earlier this week1833The region can still repeatedly go long. Since the breakthrough occurs in the middle of the night, there is still a second round of technical backtesting to verify the effectiveness of the breakthrough. This time1805Rebound, we also indicated that it was in place. Yesterday, we were approaching1860The region also indicates that the second round of short selling in the game will solidify the bottom.


The first wave of short selling signal on the daily chart1959fall1860Stabilizing and rebounding, so now the low rebound, which means this is the first pressure area, encountering still short shorts, followed by support1860The second highest point of rebound1881reach1890A regional high is a strong pressure, and as long as the rebound cannot break through, it is still a rebound. The flag shape of the daily line has not changed, so do not fluctuate in one day to change the outlook. So the pressure area should be the first to focus on1860Down the track, followed by up the track1881reach1890Area is sufficient. No breakthrough yesterday1860Starting to adjust, indicating significant pressure. Today, we will continue to focus on backtesting and consolidation1830Gains and losses.


The four hour, daily, and weekly charts are still in a bearish structure, but currently they are still in a short-term trend1805In terms of the rebound and the overall trend, I personally tend to be bearish towards gold, which is gold1805After the completion of the rise, there will be a sharp drop in the price. Gold since last week1805The bottom rebound has a certain degree of persistence, accompanied by a small period of breaking point. Currently, relying on the medium track, a wave of sustained rebound has emerged,4When looking at the hourly chart, the rebound critical point of the short line small step is1830. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest that the main focus is to rebound and short, supplemented by a pullback and long, with a focus on the short-term above1855-1858Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1833-1830Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


  3.7Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1850-1852Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1840-1835Nearby, break down and take a look1830frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1830-1833Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1840-1845Nearby, break down and take a look1850frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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