Guide Metallographer:3.7Today's gold trend analysis shows that the gold market is surging higher

　　goldMessage interpretation:


Monday(3month6day)，现货黄金刷新2month15Recently, the highest level has reached1856.33dollar/盎司后回落，投资者等待美联储主席鲍威尔即将在国会发表的证词以及美国劳工部即将发布的2月非农就业报告，可能影响美联储加息前景。


　　基本面市场影响主要在美联储方面，美联储在去年激进加息后，美联储在今年首次政策会议上恢复往常的25个基点加息节奏。美联储有望在3月政策会议上保持该加息节奏。但近期公布的一系列宏观数据表明经济富有弹性，市场担心美联储可能会重回激进加息道路。


　　美联储主席鲍威尔本周将在国会发表的证词。周五(3month10day)美国劳工部将公布2月非农就业报告。投资者希望从中找寻可能影响美联储未来货币政策走向的线索。美国通胀水平在2022年最后一个季度有所下降，但今年1月份的数据显示，物价上涨压力重新回升。而包括就业数据在内的其他一些宏观指标表明，到目前为止美联储加息对经济的损害不大。鲍威尔料呼应同事旧金山联储主席戴利上周六(3month4day)成为发表鹰派言论的最新一位美联储官员。她就通胀威胁发出警告，称如果通胀和劳动力市场数据继续好于预期，利率将需要走高，并在更长时间内保持高位。


　　戴利在普林斯顿大学的一次演讲中说：“很明显还有更多工作要做，为了将高通胀困扰彻底抛在脑后，可能有必要进一步收紧政策，并维持更长时间。”戴利承认，高通胀和美联储为压低通胀而采取的激进政策行动已经在华尔街引起了恐慌。但她指出：“市场反应已经从担心激进行动会使经济陷入衰退转向担心美联储不足以完成抗通胀工作。”戴利表示，这种担忧导致每次发布新经济数据时市场都出现波动，因为不确定性导致投资者“立即寻找答案”，“但实现我们的法定目标需要时间和更广阔的视野。”她说，美联储目前的紧缩政策“过去是，现在仍然是适当的，因为通胀上升幅度很大且持续时间很长。”


　　市场在很大程度上预计，鲍威尔本周将在国会展现强硬态度，以呼应其他美联储官员近期的措辞。但鉴于他的证词是在2月非农就业报告公布之前发表，他可能会保留所有选择权。“尽管上周债券收益率大幅上涨，但股市继续保持良好走势，并为顺周futures币提供了一点支撑。我们预计本周美元将继续区间交易，料继续交投于104.00-105.50区间，美国消息可能受到关注。”


Today's Gold Data:


　　15:30Switzerland2monthCPIMonthly rate


　　17:30eurozone3monthSentixInvestor confidence index


　　18:00eurozone1Monthly retail sales rate


　　23:00U.S.A1Monthly factory order rate


　　23:00U.S.A2New York Fed Global Supply Chain Pressure Index


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金上周五稳步反弹，突破1845平台空头临界点之后，短线回撤在1840一带二次启稳上升，打破了短期下行台阶的弱势空头临界点。缓慢震荡向上反弹走修正。日线收盘小阳线K线。周线则收成一根大阳线。此前回撤在1805关口处启稳，周线连阴之后转阳启稳，中期或许要重新选择方向，是重新启稳上升，还是反弹修正后再度下跌。本周有待确定。小周期目前处于进一步反弹延续当中。


　　4Hour chart from1804The bottom rebound has a certain degree of persistence, accompanied by a small period of breaking point. Currently, relying on the medium track, a wave of sustained rebound has emerged,4小时图看进一步向上，而短线小台阶的反弹临界点在1830。此位是二浪反弹的防守强弱点，此位之上先看延伸反弹，而上周五的回撤低点以及突破口1845-1840转换成支撑，周初依托支撑逢低做多继续上看。1小时图比较强势的台阶上升通道构造，随着低点向上抬升，短线有进一步走强的迹象。


　　黄金目前在日线走势上走出连续的反弹之后技术形态修复完成前期的下跌走势被终结掉，在短线走势上关注下1865一带的压力带。小时级别走势上周五尾盘一波冲高触及到前期的压力带附近之后走出小幅回落，目前K线开始逐步击破短周期均线在短线走势上还有一定的下行空间。周五在走出前期1845一带的联排压力带之后走出惯性拉升，今天的区间可能会被压缩在1845-1865之间，关注下回踩之后的二次拉升情况。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1845Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　今日黄金操作策略参考：


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1865-1868Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1855-1850Nearby, break down and take a look1845frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1845-1848Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1855-1865Nearby, break down and take a look1870frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Free benefits within the technical guidance group:The market is constantly changing every day,We have a strong analysis team, and every order we make is carefully considered and judged,To ensure that every order can be profitable and eliminated!Two to three orders per day do not require overnight prosperity,Just ask for the safety of falling into the bag!Profit is very high,I scored nine points alone,One point depends on luck,Eight points rely on strength!One or two days is luck,What about that week?Two weeks?Whether it is within the circle or in a group strategy,Or major financial websites,Team teachers are all current price lists!Daily analysis team technical guidance group, real-time announcement of daily market trends and push notifications,Real time current price list: Each entry is reasonable, evidence-based, publicly available, and can be accessed for free for group experience and inspection!


　　(Add Guide Gold Master（WX:zns83721 QQ:3096653915）After,Free application for direct group experience. Daily current price3-5single)I solemnly promise to add my friend to the guide's gold teacher,Just let me shout if you want me to,I can also tell you the correct single making techniques and mentality,Various solutions for lock orders. This is the key to turning your losses into profits!


Free benefits within the technical guidance group:


① Daily updates:Market trends and intraday reminders,Opportunities for warehouse building.


② Featured columns:Private Q&A,solution τ,Analyze the trend of the day.


③ Welfare delivery:Golden Short Line Opportunity Layout,Continuous tracking(Band opening)。


④ New fan benefits:Trading tactics《KThe King of Online Trading,Teach you how to do a good job in the short term