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Song Yiyang:3.6Analysis of the trend of gold and crude oil in the evening, and the operation layout strategy of the US market

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 【goldMessage Analysis

Monday3month6日,现货黄金微跌,现交投于1851美元附近,这在预期之中,主要受到短线技术面的回调压力,上周金价周五攀升至两周高点,并迎来五周以来的首次周度上涨,现货黄金上周已经上涨了约2.2%,一周内的涨幅从低到高也达50美金之逾,因为美元和美国公债收益率回落,为受美联储进一步加息前景打压的金市提供了一些喘息机会,在非农就业数据以及失业率数据公布之前,黄金大跌的趋势势不会再次启动,不过需要注意的是,在多头没有彻底的反转之前,仍有可能是一次空头的洗盘动作,多头站稳需要站稳1875上方,也是黄金上月最后下跌上行的最高点附近,此处多空交易量较大,有良好的支撑及压力,需要重点关注,本周将迎来美国2月职位空缺数据、2月份非农就业报告、美联储主席鲍威尔的半年度国会证词、澳大利亚央行利率决议、加拿大央行利率决议和日本央行利率决议,可谓是一个超级周。

Analysis of Gold Market

  上周黄金市场周初开盘在1810.3After the position, the market slightly rebounded1804.1的位置后行情强势拉升,到周五行情最高触及到了1857.3After the position was sorted out, the weekly line finally closed at1856.3的位置后行情以一根下影线稍长于上影线的大阳线收线,而这样形态收尾后,周线阳包阴,本周回踩延续多;

  周五黄金尾盘偷袭收盘光头阳线,基本突破1833区域,顶底转换1833Becoming the first support, which means encountering it earlier this week1833区域依然可以反复做多即可,周五行情第一次触及1848区域我们也是提示做空利润下跌1840出局休息,至于后半夜如何涨跌,我们都是已经休息,不要刻意去看什么一路上涨,本次1806反弹, 我们也是提示到位,现在既然继续震荡上行,那么我们就是跟住盘面顶底转换顺势参与就好。

  日线如图第一波1959fall1860企稳反弹,那么现在低位反弹那就是说这里是第一压力区域,遇到依然短空,那么1860Rebound1881reach1890区域高位就是强压,只要反弹不能突破这里依然是个反弹,所以压力区域首先关注1860reach1865Down the track, followed by up the track1881reach1890Area is sufficient.

  周期性黄金在日线中还是上涨状态,在上周五大涨破位布林中轨后,技术表现上强势依旧,上方还有很大的空间,或见1875/1880高点,因此本周初在没有数据的影响下尽量保持低多,非农数据可能会影响暂时黄金短期的方向,经过前期的大跌和上周的修复性上涨,非农将是3月黄金涨跌的关键,如果改变暂时的中期上涨状态,会延续前期的下跌模式,如果刺激市场黄金避险,那么,本周1880将不是高点。本人认为,本周黄金周初看涨,周尾或看回落修复性下跌,关注周期性走势的变化。

Operational strategy:

  1.Suggest a rebound1865reach1871Area empty,1858损,目标都是1835;建议多单第一次1840reach1843Multiple regions,1832Loss is sufficient, target1850-55;

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)

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