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goldMessage interpretation:
本周随着国内两会的召开,消息面也开始多了起来。不仅有周五的大非农,还有各大央行利率决议。另外随着美元指数的冲高受阻,各大交易品种也来到了关键窗口期。
本周主要经济数据:
Monday(3month6day): Eurozone3monthSentix投资者信心指数;欧元区1月零售销售;美国1月工厂订单;美国2月纽约联储全球供应链压力指数;
Tuesday(3month7day): China1-2月贸易帐;中国2monthforeign exchange储备;美国1月批发销售;澳洲联储公布利率决议,美联储主席鲍威尔在参议院证词。
Wednesday(3month8day):美国至3month3Day and WeekAPIcrude oilstock(10000 barrels);欧元区第四季度GDP终值;欧元区第四季度就业人数;美国2monthADPEmployment numbers(ten thousand people); U.S.A1Monthly trade account(USD100mn); From the United States to3month3Day and WeekEIACrude oil inventory(10000 barrels); From the United States to3month3Day and WeekEIA战略石油储备库存(10000 barrels);澳洲联储主席洛威发表讲话;欧洲央行行长拉加德发表讲话;加拿大央行公布利率决议;美联储主席鲍威尔在众议院金融服务委员会发表半年度货币政策证词;
Thursday(3month9day):日本第四季度实际GDP修正值;中国2monthCPI; China2月金融数据;美国2Monthly Challenger Enterprise layoffs(ten thousand people); From the United States to3month4Number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the current week(ten thousand people); From the United States to3month3Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory(Billion cubic feet);美联储公布经济状况褐皮书,
Friday(3month10day): UK1Three months in a monthGDP; Britain1月制造业产出;英国1月工业产出;美国2月非农就业人口(ten thousand people)。日本央行公布利率决议.
Today's Gold Data:
15:30Switzerland2monthCPIMonthly rate
17:30eurozone3monthSentixInvestor confidence index
18:00eurozone1Monthly retail sales rate
23:00U.S.A1Monthly factory order rate
23:00U.S.A2New York Fed Global Supply Chain Pressure Index
Technical analysis of gold:
黄金上周五稳步反弹,突破1845平台空头临界点之后,短线回撤在1840一带二次启稳上升,打破了短期下行台阶的弱势空头临界点。缓慢震荡向上反弹走修正。日线收盘小阳线K线。周线则收成一根大阳线。此前回撤在1805关口处启稳,周线连阴之后转阳启稳,中期或许要重新选择方向,是重新启稳上升,还是反弹修正后再度下跌。本周有待确定。小周期目前处于进一步反弹延续当中。
4Hour chart from1804The bottom rebound has a certain degree of persistence, accompanied by a small period of breaking point. Currently, relying on the medium track, a wave of sustained rebound has emerged,4小时图看进一步向上,而短线小台阶的反弹临界点在1830。此位是二浪反弹的防守强弱点,此位之上先看延伸反弹,而上周五的回撤低点以及突破口1845-1840转换成支撑,周初依托支撑逢低做多继续上看。1小时图比较强势的台阶上升通道构造,随着低点向上抬升,短线有进一步走强的迹象。
黄金目前在日线走势上走出连续的反弹之后技术形态修复完成前期的下跌走势被终结掉,在短线走势上关注下1865一带的压力带。小时级别走势上周五尾盘一波冲高触及到前期的压力带附近之后走出小幅回落,目前K线开始逐步击破短周期均线在短线走势上还有一定的下行空间。周五在走出前期1845一带的联排压力带之后走出惯性拉升,今天的区间可能会被压缩在1845-1865之间,关注下回踩之后的二次拉升情况。综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方短期重点关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1845Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.
3.6Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:
Empty order strategy:
Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1865-1868Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1855-1850Nearby, break down and take a look1845frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)
Multiple order strategy:
Strategy 2: Gold Callback1845-1848Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1855-1865Nearby, break down and take a look1870frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)
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