Guide Metallographer:3.6今日黄金走势分析，黄金保持震荡上涨思路

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　经过上周市场毫无影响的放空，本周市场迎来非农大数据，周内消息较多，情况也比较复杂，大家一定要跟紧山海的思路和操作建议，争取能在本周大行情中抓住大利润。本周关注美联储主席鲍威尔将在参议院金融委员会发表半年度货币政策证词，美联储公布经济状况褐皮书，2月非农业就业报告；此外，还有三大央行利率决议，澳洲联储、日本央行公布和加拿大央行将公布利率决议。周一需要关注的重点数据：欧元区3monthSentix投资者信心指数，欧元区1月零售销售月率，欧元区1月零售销售年率，美国1月耐用品订单月率修正值，美国1月工厂订单月率和加拿大2monthIVEYAfter seasonal adjustmentPMI。需要关注的大事件包括欧洲央行执委连恩发表讲话，经合组织发布2023年加拿大经济调查。


　　【美联储：持续加息仍有必要】


　　美国通胀水平仍居于高位，价格压力仍存。最新数据显示，尽管消费者价格指数已从6Created in the month9.1%的高点缓慢下降，但仍比疫情前的平均水平高出约三倍。


　　当地时间周五，美联储在向国会发布的半年度报告中表示：“委员会坚决致力于将通胀率恢复到2%的目标，目标范围内的持续增长将是适当的，以实现充分限制性的货币政策立场。”


　　本周市场将关注美联储主席鲍威尔，他定于周二出席参议院银行委员会，一天后出席众议院金融服务委员会。


　　尽管面临高通胀和利率上升的压力，美国经济仍具有韧性。数据显示，占到美国GDP2/3以上的服务业活动连续两个月扩张。


　　标普全球首席商业经济学家威廉森(Chris Williamson)认为，利率上升和通胀压力的影响仍然拖累了客户支出。不过，尽管需求状况低迷，服务提供商以自9月以来的最快速度增加了就业，企业面临持续的价格压力。


Today's Gold Data:


　　15:30Switzerland2monthCPIMonthly rate


　　17:30eurozone3monthSentixInvestor confidence index


　　18:00eurozone1Monthly retail sales rate


　　23:00U.S.A1Monthly factory order rate


　　23:00U.S.A2New York Fed Global Supply Chain Pressure Index


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金上周五稳步反弹，突破1845平台空头临界点之后，短线回撤在1840一带二次启稳上升，打破了短期下行台阶的弱势空头临界点。缓慢震荡向上反弹走修正。日线收盘小阳线K线。周线则收成一根大阳线。此前回撤在1805关口处启稳，周线连阴之后转阳启稳，中期或许要重新选择方向，是重新启稳上升，还是反弹修正后再度下跌。本周有待确定。小周期目前处于进一步反弹延续当中。


　　4Hour chart from1804The bottom rebound has a certain degree of persistence, accompanied by a small period of breaking point. Currently, relying on the medium track, a wave of sustained rebound has emerged,4小时图看进一步向上，而短线小台阶的反弹临界点在1830。此位是二浪反弹的防守强弱点，此位之上先看延伸反弹，而上周五的回撤低点以及突破口1845-1840转换成支撑，周初依托支撑逢低做多继续上看。1小时图比较强势的台阶上升通道构造，随着低点向上抬升，短线有进一步走强的迹象。


　　黄金目前在日线走势上走出连续的反弹之后技术形态修复完成前期的下跌走势被终结掉，在短线走势上关注下1865一带的压力带。小时级别走势上周五尾盘一波冲高触及到前期的压力带附近之后走出小幅回落，目前K线开始逐步击破短周期均线在短线走势上还有一定的下行空间。周五在走出前期1845一带的联排压力带之后走出惯性拉升，今天的区间可能会被压缩在1845-1865之间，关注下回踩之后的二次拉升情况。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1845Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　3.6Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1865-1868Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1855-1850Nearby, break down and take a look1845frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1845-1848Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1855-1865Nearby, break down and take a look1870frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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