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Brent crude oil rose to84.29Nearby, as the demand of Indian refineries hit a new high in more than 10 years, oil prices were boosted in the short term by the signs of a strong rebound in the economy of China, the largest crude oil importer, and the easing of concerns about the radical interest rate increase in the United States.
In terms of positive data, government data released on Wednesday showed that the crude oil processing scale of Indian refineries was1Monthly53910000 barrels/Day, create2009年以来的最高水平,因俄罗斯遭受西方制裁,原油出口更多转向包括印度在内的亚洲买家(印度是世界第三大石油进口国和消费国)。周三的数据显示中国2月制造业活动以十多年来最快的速度增长,增添世界第二大经济体在取消严格的疫情防控措施后经济回升的证据。由于炼油厂利用低廉的价格,中国海运进口的俄罗斯石油本月势将创下历史新高。此外,美国三大股市全数收涨,包含标普指数上涨0.76%The Dow Jones industrial average rose1.05%And the Nasdaq Index rose0.73%。
而在利空数据方面,在法国、西班牙和德国的消费者相继通胀超过预期后,欧央加息预期不断增强,这使得石油难以走高。欧洲央行2月会议记录显示,决策者对通胀趋势的解读以及应该就下一次利率行动发出何种信号存在分歧。然而,美国原油库存连续第十周增加,给市场带来压力。美元走强也令油市承压,此前美国公布的初请失业金数据表明就业市场强劲。由于其他数据显示劳动力成本不断增长,市场预计美联储将在更长时间内保持较高利率。
总而言之,油价受中国经济强劲反弹、美国激进加息担忧缓解及印度炼厂需求创十多年新高等因素而提振,不过欧央加息预期不断增强和美国原油库存连续第十周增加,限制了油价的涨势。
Press from above(Upper resistance) 84.20,84.70; From the downward direction, the lower support83.80。
CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.
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