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Guide Metallographer:3.2Today's gold trend analysis, the latest market and operation suggestions in the evening

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  goldMessage interpretation:


  消息方面,周三中国公布2Monthly manufacturing industryPMI数据,创造2012year5月以来的历史新高,强劲的制造业数据带动大宗商品普遍上涨,金价在数据公布后,短线上涨5美元,并在之后继续震荡上涨,刷新一周新高,同期美元从日内高点回落,之后继续震荡下跌,刷新一周新低。此外德国通胀急升,加强欧元区加息预期,令欧元兑美元创一周新高,美国制造业连续第四个月出现萎缩,同样打压美元下跌。


  虽然美元在周三,刷新一周新低,为黄金上涨创造了机会,而金价也连续三个交易日向上反弹,加强了短线看涨信号,但是市场基本面依旧偏向空方,对美联储进一步加息以及在更长时间里保持高利率的预期,推动美国十年国债收益率刷新三个多月新高,日内美债收益率进一步上涨,这加大了持有黄金的机会成本,对金价不利。


Today's Gold Data:


  18:00eurozone2monthCPI年率初值及月率


  18:00eurozone1Monthly unemployment rate


  20:30Announced by the European Central Bank2Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes


  21:30From the United States to2month24Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week


The next day03:00美联储理事沃勒就美国经济前景发表讲话


  今日技术面分析:


  黄金昨天的走势和预期完全一致,拉高回落,目前受阻于1845附近后回撤,但今天并不是变盘的时间点,从短线走势来看,今天很可能是个震荡局,和昨天一样,而1845的回落在预期之内,所以我们在昨天给出了1841-1843附近做空的点位,昨天的走势是黄金不断拉高,美元不断回落,晚间美元反弹,黄金受阻回落,一切都是顺其自然。


  黄金目前虽然回落,但不宜追空,短线很可能还会再拉起来,而昨天是日线反弹第二天,加之4Hour levelMACD已经站上0轴上方,显示短线多头力度并不弱,所以1844受阻之后的回落仅仅是回调,而非下跌。当然,黄金接下来也不一定涨多高,但能量消耗需要时间,而这个时间,就是完成短线的强转弱的时间,也是黄金多头最后一冲的时间,上去了继续涨,反之就要开始跌了。


  4The hour chart has made its first bottom rebound and has reached a key resistance point1805From the perspective of rebound space, it has already been relatively large, breaking the pattern of weak and negative decline. In addition4小时二浪下跌的空间已释放完毕。目前进入中期多空抉择当中,小级别一浪反弹之后是重新转跌还是延续二浪反弹有待确认。就看今天亚欧盘的强弱转换,操作上依旧要把时间点卡到欧美盘,当然即使是向上反弹,也是震荡式的,而非单边多头。反弹过程中遇到阻力也会有所回落,操作上可以卡区间高空低多,把握震荡区间对待。综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方短期重点关注1845-1847Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1823-1825Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


  3.2Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1843-1845Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1835-1830Nearby, break down and take a look1825frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1823-1825Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1835-1840Nearby, break down and take a look1845frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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