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Guide Metallographer:3.1今日黄金走势分析,黄金探底回升连阳

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  goldMessage interpretation:


  基本面上,由于美联储为抑制通货膨胀而精心安排的加息,美国经济已经放缓。较高的借贷成本抑制了消费者和企业支出。昨日公布的美国经济数据,再度增强了经济前景开始爆冷的预期,其美国公布的咨商会消费者信心指数等表现不佳,该指数仍远低于与健康经济相关的水平,暗示经济有所恶化。


  虽然基于对就业机会的更有利看法,现状指数仍略有上升。然而,展望未来,前景似乎更加悲观。对未来六个月就业、收入和商业状况的预期在2月份都大幅下降。


  故此,在美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)3month22日公布政策决定之前,市场将看到美国2月非农就业数据和2月通胀数据意外的爆冷。并且,推动美联储也可能在3month22日的会议上出人意料地表示,加息将取决于经济数据,而不是目前持续加息的立场。这将推动金价在3月份或4月份走势再度转强收阳。


  所以,除非下周非农维持强势,以及通胀降幅低于预期,并且之后的加息力度提升至50个基点或更高,否则金价将很难再度产生持续性下跌行情。


  虽然,现在市场对于美联储利率峰值有将超过6%的展望,并将降息预期和峰值高点延迟到2024Year or2025Year.


  但这也只会降低美国经济软着陆的几率。另外,利率的进一步上升最终也将导致大幅降息。如果美联储真的加息到6%,那只是意味着它可以在以后降息600个基点,这对黄金来说是非常有利的。未来将是持有黄金的好时机。


  长期来看,一旦美国加息周期明显结束,黄金的吸引力将会再次上升。如果情况变得明朗,美联储将不得不再次收回部分加息举措,转为降息政策,那么黄金的吸引力将更加显著。


  如果要到美联储期望的2%目标,个人仍然预计会到2024年的下半年或者是2025年初,故此,降息预期也将放在2024Year or2025年。所以,今年仍然是偏震荡的一年,但也是长期看涨进行买入机会的一年,未来10年可长期持有,上看3500美元或更高都在预料之中。值得一抓。如果说,2016年我说抄底的话,你没有把握住,那么这次的机会,希望不要错过。


Today's Focus Data:


  15:00britain2monthNationwideMonthly rate of housing price index


  15:30Switzerland1Monthly actual retail sales annual rate


  16:50France2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value


  16:55Germany2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value


  16:55Germany2月失业人数及失业率


  17:00eurozone2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value


  17:30britain2Monthly manufacturing industryPMI


  17:30britain1Monthly central bank mortgage loan permit


  18:00英国央行行长贝利发表讲话


  21:00Germany2monthCPIInitial monthly rate


  22:45U.S.A2monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIFinal value


  23:00U.S.A2monthISMmanufacturingPMI


  23:00U.S.A1Monthly construction expenditure monthly rate


Technical analysis of gold:


Yesterday, the gold market opened in the morning1816.9After the position, the market first fell, and the daily line reached its lowest point1804.5After its position, the market rose strongly and reached its highest point on the daily line1831.2After the position is sorted out, the monthly line is finally closed1826.8的位置后行情以一根下影线极长的大阳线收线,而这样的形态收尾后,今日的行情依旧有看多需求。


  4小时图伴随下探回升的反弹修正,局部收在中轨之上,短线进入震荡,上方台阶临界点在1845-1848.此位未收复,短线还是弱势反弹修正,并不是反转,结构上还是看修正之后再去下探,当然在临近1800整数关口处,买盘会较强,短线可能会迂回反复。伴随反复的下探回升,或许也不排除在1800止跌回升,具体还得看美元的强弱转换。来决定黄金的中期走势。操作上多加留意形态的中期转换,此前强调的空头中期目标1808-1805都已悉数到位。后市进入重新抉择。在单边方向明朗前,暂时以短线震荡思路对待。


  昨日收官月线虽然有反弹,但是月线依然大阴形态,那么就是说惯性还有下跌,所以交易不要去追涨杀跌即可,既然昨日没有破位1806and1800关口下跌,那么技术反弹回测上轨压力1833大概率,1Hour cycle local to1804附近构筑启明星形态,整体呈w底形态,短线有反弹动能。根据极性转换原则:1833作为前市强支撑位,目前已转换成后市的强支撑位,后市可依托1833一线轻仓跟进空单!目前1Hourly cyclema均线交叉粘合指向不明,且行情整体仍处于1833强阻之下,建议1833上方谨慎追多。1Hour cycle and15Minute cycleKDJ交叉向上指向看涨,但目前各个周期的KDJ皆处于超卖之中,后市需关注其超卖状态的解除方式。1Hourly cycleRSIThere are no signs of deviation, please continue to follow in the future!1小时周期的成交量随行情上行而缩减,短线有背离之势,高位谨慎追多!今日下方关注小时线颈线位1818-1820附近,日内回踩依托此位置继续先多看反弹,上方压力关注1838-1840关口,美盘前冲高承压此位置可短空一次再看震荡回落,综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方短期重点关注1838-1840Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1818-1820Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


  3.1Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1837-1840Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1830-1825Nearby, break down and take a look1820frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1820-1823Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1830-1835Nearby, break down and take a look1840frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Free benefits within the technical guidance group:The market is constantly changing every day,We have a strong analysis team, and every order we make is carefully considered and judged,To ensure that every order can be profitable and eliminated!Two to three orders per day do not require overnight prosperity,Just ask for the safety of falling into the bag!Profit is very high,I scored nine points alone,One point depends on luck,Eight points rely on strength!One or two days is luck,What about that week?Two weeks?Whether it is within the circle or in a group strategy,Or major financial websites,Team teachers are all current price lists!Daily analysis team technical guidance group, real-time announcement of daily market trends and push notifications,Real time current price list: Each entry is reasonable, evidence-based, publicly available, and can be accessed for free for group experience and inspection!


  (Add Guide Gold Master(WX:zns83721 QQ:3096653915)After,Free application for direct group experience. Daily current price3-5single)I solemnly promise to add my friend to the guide's gold teacher,Just let me shout if you want me to,I can also tell you the correct single making techniques and mentality,Various solutions for lock orders. This is the key to turning your losses into profits!


Free benefits within the technical guidance group:


① Daily updates:Market trends and intraday reminders,Opportunities for warehouse building.


② Featured columns:Private Q&A,solution τ,Analyze the trend of the day.


③ Welfare delivery:Golden Short Line Opportunity Layout,Continuous tracking(Band opening)。


④ New fan benefits:Trading tactics《KThe King of Online Trading,Teach you how to do a good job in the short term


Non personal firm offer customers, providing general direction and expectations. Trend analysis and operational ideas are updated every day. Those who need to assess their strength can go and see them, and those who need to see suggestions can follow the guide. The gold engineer can go and see them on their own without charging. Once you have considered it, you can proceed with the firm offer. If you feel that I cannot help you or have any questions, you can continue to investigate, so as not to waste everyone's time with each other. After all, time is precious, It's not for waste.


Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


  1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


  2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


  3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above

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