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Market Review:
InternationalgoldTuesday(2month28day)Reaching the bottom and rebounding, closing higher again, opening price1815.24dollar/Ounces, highest price1826.58dollar/Ounces, lowest price1804.55dollar/Ounces, closing price1823.98dollar/ounce.
Interpretation of the Golden News:
The United States announced on Tuesday2Consumer confidence index of the monthly consultation chamber recorded102.9, lower than market expectations108.5, previous value is107.1; U.S.A2Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Record-16, lower than market expectations-5, previous value is-11.
世界大型企业联合会经济部高级主管Ataman Ozyildirim表示,虽然2月份消费者对当前商业状况的看法有所恶化,但基于对就业机会的更有利看法,现状指数仍略有上升。然而,展望未来,前景似乎更加悲观。对未来六个月就业、收入和商业状况的预期在2月份都大幅下降。而且,虽然12个月的通胀预期有所改善:从上个月的6.7%lower6.3%,但消费者可能会在高物价和利率上升的情况下显示出缩减支出的早期迹象,2月份度假意向也有所下降。
美联储周二公布的贴现率会议记录显示,亚特兰大联储和达拉斯联储的董事会在1月中旬投票支持维持联储向商业银行收取的紧急贷款利率不变。克利夫兰联储、圣路易斯联储和明尼阿波利斯联储的董事会成员投票支持将贴现率提高50个基点。其余七家地区联储董事会投票支持将贴现率上调25个基点,否决了以上五家地区联储的要求。这与美联储在1month31Solstice2month1日会议上的加息幅度一致。各地区联储对贴现率的合适水平存在分歧,表明他们在应该进一步加息多少以降低过高的通胀方面意见并不一致。贴现率不同于联邦基金利率,但与之同步变化。地区联储主席们表示,尽管不参与制定实际的政策利率,但董事们的意见有助于他们确定对未来的预期。
The world's largest goldETF--SPDR Gold TrustPosition decrease compared to the previous day2.31Tons, current position is915.3Tons.
According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve3Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to4.75%-5.00%The probability of the interval is76.7%Interest rate hike50Bps to5.00%-5.25%The probability of the interval is23.3%; reach5Monthly cumulative interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is0%Accumulated interest rate increase50The probability of a basis point is73.4%Accumulated interest rate increase75Bps to5.25%-5.50%The probability of the interval is25.6%Accumulated interest rate increase100Bps to5.50%-5.75%The probability of the interval is1.0%。
Today's Focus Data:
15:00britain2monthNationwideMonthly rate of housing price index
15:30Switzerland1Monthly actual retail sales annual rate
16:50France2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
16:55Germany2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
16:55Germany2月失业人数及失业率
17:00eurozone2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
17:30britain2Monthly manufacturing industryPMI
17:30britain1Monthly central bank mortgage loan permit
18:00英国央行行长贝利发表讲话
21:00Germany2monthCPIInitial monthly rate
22:45U.S.A2monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIFinal value
23:00U.S.A2monthISMmanufacturingPMI
23:00U.S.A1Monthly construction expenditure monthly rate
Technical analysis of gold:
Yesterday, the gold market opened in the morning1816.9After the position, the market first fell, and the daily line reached its lowest point1804.5After its position, the market rose strongly and reached its highest point on the daily line1831.2After the position is sorted out, the monthly line is finally closed1826.8的位置后行情以一根下影线极长的大阳线收线,而这样的形态收尾后,今日的行情依旧有看多需求。
4小时图伴随下探回升的反弹修正,局部收在中轨之上,短线进入震荡,上方台阶临界点在1845-1848.此位未收复,短线还是弱势反弹修正,并不是反转,结构上还是看修正之后再去下探,当然在临近1800整数关口处,买盘会较强,短线可能会迂回反复。伴随反复的下探回升,或许也不排除在1800止跌回升,具体还得看美元的强弱转换。来决定黄金的中期走势。操作上多加留意形态的中期转换,此前强调的空头中期目标1808-1805都已悉数到位。后市进入重新抉择。在单边方向明朗前,暂时以短线震荡思路对待。
昨日收官月线虽然有反弹,但是月线依然大阴形态,那么就是说惯性还有下跌,所以交易不要去追涨杀跌即可,既然昨日没有破位1806and1800关口下跌,那么技术反弹回测上轨压力1833大概率,1Hour cycle local to1804附近构筑启明星形态,整体呈w底形态,短线有反弹动能。根据极性转换原则:1833作为前市强支撑位,目前已转换成后市的强支撑位,后市可依托1833一线轻仓跟进空单!目前1Hourly cyclema均线交叉粘合指向不明,且行情整体仍处于1833强阻之下,建议1833上方谨慎追多。1Hour cycle and15Minute cycleKDJ交叉向上指向看涨,但目前各个周期的KDJ皆处于超卖之中,后市需关注其超卖状态的解除方式。1Hourly cycleRSIThere are no signs of deviation, please continue to follow in the future!1小时周期的成交量随行情上行而缩减,短线有背离之势,高位谨慎追多!今日下方关注小时线颈线位1818-1820附近,日内回踩依托此位置继续先多看反弹,上方压力关注1838-1840关口,美盘前冲高承压此位置可短空一次再看震荡回落,综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方短期重点关注1838-1840Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1818-1820Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.
3.1Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:
Empty order strategy:
Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1837-1840Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1830-1825Nearby, break down and take a look1820frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)
Multiple order strategy:
Strategy 2: Gold Callback1820-1823Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1830-1835Nearby, break down and take a look1840frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)
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Solid Harvest Operation Plan:
1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above
2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above
3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above
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