Guide Metallographer:3.1Today's gold trend analysis shows that the gold price is approaching an important level

　　今日消息面解读：


　　昨天晚上美联储理事杰斐逊发表讲话表示，目前的通胀可能比想象的更持久，但不能只关注一个数据，而提高2%的通胀目标可能会损害美联储的信誉。这话说的并不是空穴来风，从近期的美国公布数据来看，确实经济比预期要好，别的不说，就看昨晚的美国1月耐用品订单月率，录得-4.5%Expected to be-4%, previous value is5.1%, for2020year4月以来最大降幅。美国1月成屋签约销售指数月率录得8.1%, for2020year6The largest increase since the beginning of the month.


　　另外，亚特兰大联储GDPNow模型显示，上调美国2023年第一季度实际GDP增长率(经季节性调整的年率)预期至2.8%, higher than2month24Of2.7%。


　　整个目前的基本面都显示出，美国经济在加息的背景下似乎并未有衰退的迹象，这也给未来加息三次提供了基础。今日goldData:


　　15:45France2monthCPIMonthly rate


　　15:45France Q4GDPAnnual rate final value


　　16:00Switzerland2monthKOFEconomic leading indicators


　　21:30Canada12monthGDPMonthly rate


　　22:00U.S.A12monthFHFAMonthly rate of housing price index


　　22:00U.S.A12monthS&P/CS20Annual rate of housing price index in major cities


　　22:45U.S.A2Month ChicagoPMI


　　23:00U.S.A2Monthly Conference Chamber Consumer Confidence Index


　　23:00U.S.A2Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index


The next day03:30Federal Reserve Gullsby delivers a speech


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金昨日先延续偏弱震荡，下方如预期回撤至1807附近，随后行情止跌震荡，晚间在美指回修的激发下，黄金震荡回弹，如预期测压至1820一线，日线最终收得一阳，结束短线连阴局面。


　　日线结构上，黄金虽然昨日收阳，但目前依然还是没能站上5日线上方，目前5Daily line1819附近依然会是短线的争夺压力位，而如果站上5日线，上方10Daily line1827-30一带也继续会带来压制作用，所以短期内黄金暂时还是只能以止跌反弹来看待，日线级别大趋势对于多头是不利的，且基本面预期对于多头也不利，故多头是很难形成反转气候的。预期今日黄金大概率会有一波上涨延续，能否测压至1827-30一带，则还要看美指调整动态，目前黄金与美指节奏高度反向同步，所以黄金回弹的级别也将有美指调整的级别来决定。


　　结合小时图走势，隔夜黄金首次测压至1820附近后出现一次回修，下方回撤1812附近，但随后很快回弹再测1820，这样的状态基本确认了短线的上涨趋势，且短压位1820也得到确认，同时下方支撑也踏稳，日内下方可着重关注1815/14附近支撑，以及1810整数位支撑，如果回踩支撑不破再回升，上方冲破1820的概率将会加大，届时上方可再看1827-30一带压力测试，此位在小时图级别也是非常关键的压力位，所以自1810-05区域展开的止跌回弹，暂时将1827-30一带视作为主要目标区域。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注1827-1830Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1810-1812Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　今日黄金操作策略参考：


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1827-1830Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1820-1815Nearby, break down and take a look1810frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1810-1812Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1820-1825Nearby, break down and take a look1830frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above