Song Yiyang:2.28黄金走势阴跌不止，黄金原油操作建议及策略...

　goldMarket trend analysis:

Tuesday（2month28During the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in1813.5dollar/Near ounces, the overnight US durable goods order data was worse than expected. The United Kingdom and the European Union reached a new agreement on the the Troubles. The US dollar index corrected slightly, providing support for gold prices. The geographical situation also attracted some bargain hunting. However, the core durable goods orders were still stronger than the market expectations. Jefferson, the governor of the Federal Reserve, said that the inflation struggle would soon end "disillusionment". Some investment banks were worried about the Federal Reserve3The pace of interest rate hikes will accelerate in the month, which poses further downside risks for gold prices in the future. Moreover, technical signals indicate that there is still a risk of short-term downward movement in gold prices, which may be further explored1800Integer level support, even falling towards100Daily moving average1792.30附近。有分析师表示，黄金在1806美元附近有支撑，但由于通胀高于预期且经济数据持续强劲，黄金一直在下滑。市场分析师表示：“鉴于美联储青睐的通胀指标在1月加速，对无孳息黄金的胃纳可能会在短期内因加息押注而减弱，最终拖累金价走低。本交易日需要关注芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比讲话，留意美国2Month ChicagoPMI, USA1Initial monthly wholesale inventory rate, US2The Consumer Confidence Index of the Conference Chamber of Commerce in June.

　　周一黄金亚欧盘急跌出新低至1806，欧美盘在低位震荡逐步见底后走反弹，美盘最高1820，有14美金空间，日线收阳，但并非有明确的反转形态，由于美元可能强转弱，黄金近期也需要关注弱势转强。值得关注的是，黄金日线目前单日收阳，虽然没有构成结构形的上涨形态，但小心近期的震荡筑底结构，所以，近期黄金不要再妄想追空看大跌，下方的空间也不看，1800是整点关口，就是比较尴尬的点位，1800往上大涨看见1890，往下大跌可见1680，所以，暂时行情值得注意。周二涨跌都有可能性，就上面分析的来看，美元如果延续下跌，黄金走反弹，关注日线单边均线压制在1828，H4周期布林收口，上方关注点在1832，综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上宋奕洋建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1823-1828Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1800-1805Frontline support.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

Tuesday（2month28日）欧市盘中，美原油窄幅震荡，目前交投于76.9dollar/桶附近，近日美联储官员继续发表鹰派言论，同时数据也支持了他们的一些言论，加之美联储公布的今年第一次联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议纪要基调鹰派，提升美联储恢复大幅加息举措，引发市场押注美国经济活动进一步放缓。企业仍在努力应对更高的利息成本，快速上升的借贷成本将抑制经济增长并削弱燃料需求。会议纪要显示，相比经济放缓或陷入衰退，美联储在2月早些时候召开的会议上更担忧通胀居高不下带来的风险。美联储政策制定者倾向于在较长时间内提高利率，以有效地降低通胀。在此背景下，美联储进一步加息猜测推高美元，对原油等大宗商品构成压力，因美元走强对持有非美货币的原油买家而言更加昂贵。美联储众多官员的讲话所传递的信息仍然是，在通胀得到控制的信心增强之前，应该预期会继续加息。除此之外，投资者还要密切关注全球经济衰退的讨论、乌俄军事冲突的最新进展，这些都会给原油市场带来重大影响。

　　原油技术面分析；原油昨日拉锯震荡，伴随探高不破高。二次上探76.80未突破承压转换收低，最低至75.0.Closing at75.70.日线收盘小阴线。结构上仍未走出强弱单边，而是拉锯震荡，昨日也是在区间内来回洗盘，并未走出实质区间。日线仍处于上周的区间内收缩整理。等待方向进一步明朗。4小时图布林道开始平行收口。短期暂时围绕上一之间来回拉锯，也是暂时处于上周五的区间内运行，短期由于迂回反复，并未实质性的方向，短线操作还是卡点操作。以区间震荡对待，时间点尽量卡到欧盘后，先走出区间，再决定进场点位。震荡行情中，点位为王，趋势为后。综合来看，原油今日操作思路上宋奕洋建议上方短期关注77.8-78.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below74.5-74.0Frontline support.

Author/Song Yiyang

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Technical Director Song Yiyang explains a set online,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.